Wald test

Abstract: Part 1. An Introduction to Missing Data. 1.1 Introduction. 1.2 Chapter Overview. 1.3 Missing Data Patterns. 1.4 A Conceptual Overview of Missing Data heory. 1.5 A More Formal Description of Missing Data Theory. 1.6 Why Is the Missing Data Mechanism Important? 1.7 How Plausible Is the Missing at Random Mechanism? 1.8 An Inclusive Analysis Strategy. 1.9 Testing the Missing Completely at Random Mechanism. 1.10 Planned Missing Data Designs. 1.11 The Three-Form Design. 1.12 Planned Missing Data for Longitudinal Designs. 1.13 Conducting Power Analyses for Planned Missing Data Designs. 1.14 Data Analysis Example. 1.15 Summary. 1.16 Recommended Readings. Part 2. Traditional Methods for Dealing with Missing Data. 2.1 Chapter Overview. 2.2 An Overview of Deletion Methods. 2.3 Listwise Deletion. 2.4 Pairwise Deletion. 2.5 An Overview of Single Imputation Techniques. 2.6 Arithmetic Mean Imputation. 2.7 Regression Imputation. 2.8 Stochastic Regression Imputation. 2.9 Hot-Deck Imputation. 2.10 Similar Response Pattern Imputation. 2.11 Averaging the Available Items. 2.12 Last Observation Carried Forward. 2.13 An Illustrative Simulation Study. 2.14 Summary. 2.15 Recommended Readings. Part 3. An Introduction to Maximum Likelihood Estimation. 3.1 Chapter Overview. 3.2 The Univariate Normal Distribution. 3.3 The Sample Likelihood. 3.4 The Log-Likelihood. 3.5 Estimating Unknown Parameters. 3.6 The Role of First Derivatives. 3.7 Estimating Standard Errors. 3.8 Maximum Likelihood Estimation with Multivariate Normal Data. 3.9 A Bivariate Analysis Example. 3.10 Iterative Optimization Algorithms. 3.11 Significance Testing Using the Wald Statistic. 3.12 The Likelihood Ratio Test Statistic. 3.13 Should I Use the Wald Test or the Likelihood Ratio Statistic? 3.14 Data Analysis Example 1. 3.15 Data Analysis Example 2. 3.16 Summary. 3.17 Recommended Readings. Part 4. Maximum Likelihood Missing Data Handling. 4.1 Chapter Overview. 4.2 The Missing Data Log-Likelihood. 4.3 How Do the Incomplete Data Records Improve Estimation? 4.4 An Illustrative Computer Simulation Study. 4.5 Estimating Standard Errors with Missing Data. 4.6 Observed Versus Expected Information. 4.7 A Bivariate Analysis Example. 4.8 An Illustrative Computer Simulation Study. 4.9 An Overview of the EM Algorithm. 4.10 A Detailed Description of the EM Algorithm. 4.11 A Bivariate Analysis Example. 4.12 Extending EM to Multivariate Data. 4.13 Maximum Likelihood Software Options. 4.14 Data Analysis Example 1. 4.15 Data Analysis Example 2. 4.16 Data Analysis Example 3. 4.17 Data Analysis Example 4. 4.18 Data Analysis Example 5. 4.19 Summary. 4.20 Recommended Readings. Part 5. Improving the Accuracy of Maximum Likelihood Analyses. 5.1 Chapter Overview. 5.2 The Rationale for an Inclusive Analysis Strategy. 5.3 An Illustrative Computer Simulation Study. 5.4 Identifying a Set of Auxiliary Variables. 5.5 Incorporating Auxiliary Variables Into a Maximum Likelihood Analysis. 5.6 The Saturated Correlates Model. 5.7 The Impact of Non-Normal Data. 5.8 Robust Standard Errors. 5.9 Bootstrap Standard Errors. 5.10 The Rescaled Likelihood Ratio Test. 5.11 Bootstrapping the Likelihood Ratio Statistic. 5.12 Data Analysis Example 1. 5.13 Data Analysis Example 2. 5.14 Data Analysis Example 3. 5.15 Summary. 5.16 Recommended Readings. Part 6. An Introduction to Bayesian Estimation. 6.1 Chapter Overview. 6.2 What Makes Bayesian Statistics Different? 6.3 A Conceptual Overview of Bayesian Estimation. 6.4 Bayes' Theorem. 6.5 An Analysis Example. 6.6 How Does Bayesian Estimation Apply to Multiple Imputation? 6.7 The Posterior Distribution of the Mean. 6.8 The Posterior Distribution of the Variance. 6.9 The Posterior Distribution of a Covariance Matrix. 6.10 Summary. 6.11 Recommended Readings. Part 7. The Imputation Phase of Multiple Imputation. 7.1 Chapter Overview. 7.2 A Conceptual Description of the Imputation Phase. 7.3 A Bayesian Description of the Imputation Phase. 7.4 A Bivariate Analysis Example. 7.5 Data Augmentation with Multivariate Data. 7.6 Selecting Variables for Imputation. 7.7 The Meaning of Convergence. 7.8 Convergence Diagnostics. 7.9 Time-Series Plots. 7.10 Autocorrelation Function Plots. 7.11 Assessing Convergence from Alternate Starting Values. 7.12 Convergence Problems. 7.13 Generating the Final Set of Imputations. 7.14 How Many Data Sets Are Needed? 7.15 Summary. 7.16 Recommended Readings. Part 8. The Analysis and Pooling Phases of Multiple Imputation. 8.1 Chapter Overview. 8.2 The Analysis Phase. 8.3 Combining Parameter Estimates in the Pooling Phase. 8.4 Transforming Parameter Estimates Prior to Combining. 8.5 Pooling Standard Errors. 8.6 The Fraction of Missing Information and the Relative Increase in Variance. 8.7 When Is Multiple Imputation Comparable to Maximum Likelihood? 8.8 An Illustrative Computer Simulation Study. 8.9 Significance Testing Using the t Statistic. 8.10 An Overview of Multiparameter Significance Tests. 8.11 Testing Multiple Parameters Using the D1 Statistic. 8.12 Testing Multiple Parameters by Combining Wald Tests. 8.13 Testing Multiple Parameters by Combining Likelihood Ratio Statistics. 8.14 Data Analysis Example 1. 8.15 Data Analysis Example 2. 8.16 Data Analysis Example 3. 8.17 Summary. 8.18 Recommended Readings. Part 9. Practical Issues in Multiple Imputation. 9.1 Chapter Overview. 9.2 Dealing with Convergence Problems. 9.3 Dealing with Non-Normal Data. 9.4 To Round or Not to Round? 9.5 Preserving Interaction Effects. 9.6 Imputing Multiple-Item Questionnaires. 9.7 Alternate Imputation Algorithms. 9.8 Multiple Imputation Software Options. 9.9 Data Analysis Example 1. 9.10 Data Analysis Example 2. 9.11 Summary. 9.12 Recommended Readings. Part 10. Models for Missing Not at Random Data. 10.1 Chapter Overview. 10.2 An Ad Hoc Approach to Dealing with MNAR Data. 10.3 The Theoretical Rationale for MNAR Models. 10.4 The Classic Selection Model. 10.5 Estimating the Selection Model. 10.6 Limitations of the Selection Model. 10.7 An Illustrative Analysis. 10.8 The Pattern Mixture Model. 10.9 Limitations of the Pattern Mixture Model. 10.10 An Overview of the Longitudinal Growth Model. 10.11 A Longitudinal Selection Model. 10.12 Random Coefficient Selection Models. 10.13 Pattern Mixture Models for Longitudinal Analyses. 10.14 Identification Strategies for Longitudinal Pattern Mixture Models. 10.15 Delta Method Standard Errors. 10.16 Overview of the Data Analysis Examples. 10.17 Data Analysis Example 1. 10.18 Data Analysis Example 2. 10.19 Data Analysis Example 3. 10.20 Data Analysis Example 4. 10.21 Summary. 10.22 Recommended Readings. Part 11. Wrapping Things Up: Some Final Practical Considerations. 11.1 Chapter Overview. 11.2 Maximum Likelihood Software Options. 11.3 Multiple Imputation Software Options. 11.4 Choosing between Maximum Likelihood and Multiple Imputation. 11.5 Reporting the Results from a Missing Data Analysis. 11.6 Final Thoughts. 11.7 Recommended Readings.

Abstract: Weak instruments can produce biased IV estimators and hypothesis tests with large size distortions. But what, precisely , are weak instruments, and how does one detect them in practice? This paper proposes quantitative definitions of weak instruments based on the maximum IV estimator bias, or the maximum Wald test size distortion, when there are multiple endogenous regressors. We tabulate critical values that enable using the first-stage F-statistic (or, when there are multiple endogenous regressors, the Cragg-Donald (1993) statistic) to test whether give n instruments are weak.

Abstract: Efficient estimators of cointegrating vectors are presented for systems involving deterministic components and variables of differing, higher orders of integration. The estimators are computed using GLS or OLS, and Wald Statistics constructed from these estimators have asymptotic x2 distributions. These and previously proposed estimators of cointegrating vectors are used to study long-run U.S. money (Ml) demand. Ml demand is found to be stable over 1900-1989; the 95% confidence intervals for the income elasticity and interest rate semielasticity are (.88,1.06) and (-.13, -.08), respectively. Estimates based on the postwar data alone, however, are unstable, with variances which indicate substantial sampling uncertainty.