TL;DR: The proposed LSTM approach outperforms the other listed rival algorithms in the task of short-term load forecasting for individual residential households and is comprehensively compared to various benchmarks including the state-of-the-arts in the field of load forecasting.
Abstract: As the power system is facing a transition toward a more intelligent, flexible, and interactive system with higher penetration of renewable energy generation, load forecasting, especially short-term load forecasting for individual electric customers plays an increasingly essential role in the future grid planning and operation. Other than aggregated residential load in a large scale, forecasting an electric load of a single energy user is fairly challenging due to the high volatility and uncertainty involved. In this paper, we propose a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network-based framework, which is the latest and one of the most popular techniques of deep learning, to tackle this tricky issue. The proposed framework is tested on a publicly available set of real residential smart meter data, of which the performance is comprehensively compared to various benchmarks including the state-of-the-arts in the field of load forecasting. As a result, the proposed LSTM approach outperforms the other listed rival algorithms in the task of short-term load forecasting for individual residential households.
TL;DR: An application-oriented review of smart meter data analytics identifies the key application areas as load analysis, load forecasting, and load management and reviews the techniques and methodologies adopted or developed to address each application.
Abstract: The widespread popularity of smart meters enables an immense amount of fine-grained electricity consumption data to be collected. Meanwhile, the deregulation of the power industry, particularly on the delivery side, has continuously been moving forward worldwide. How to employ massive smart meter data to promote and enhance the efficiency and sustainability of the power grid is a pressing issue. To date, substantial works have been conducted on smart meter data analytics. To provide a comprehensive overview of the current research and to identify challenges for future research, this paper conducts an application-oriented review of smart meter data analytics. Following the three stages of analytics, namely, descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive analytics, we identify the key application areas as load analysis, load forecasting, and load management. We also review the techniques and methodologies adopted or developed to address each application. In addition, we also discuss some research trends, such as big data issues, novel machine learning technologies, new business models, the transition of energy systems, and data privacy and security.
TL;DR: A comprehensive survey on the literature involving blockchain technology applied to smart cities, from the perspectives of smart citizen, smart healthcare, smart grid, smart transportation, supply chain management, and others is provided.
Abstract: In recent years, the rapid urbanization of world’s population causes many economic, social, and environmental problems, which affect people’s living conditions and quality of life significantly. The concept of “smart city” brings opportunities to solve these urban problems. The objectives of smart cities are to make the best use of public resources, provide high-quality services to the citizens, and improve the people’s quality of life. Information and communication technology plays an important role in the implementation of smart cities. Blockchain as an emerging technology has many good features, such as trust-free, transparency, pseudonymity, democracy, automation, decentralization, and security. These features of blockchain are helpful to improve smart city services and promote the development of smart cities. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive survey on the literature involving blockchain technology applied to smart cities. First, the related works and background knowledge are introduced. Then, we review how blockchain technology is applied in the realm of smart cities, from the perspectives of smart citizen, smart healthcare, smart grid, smart transportation, supply chain management, and others. Finally, some challenges and broader perspectives are discussed.
TL;DR: The use of long short-term memory recurrent neural network (LSTM-RNN) to accurately forecast the output power of PV systems and offers a further reduction in the forecasting error compared with the other methods.
Abstract: Photovoltaic (PV) is one of the most promising renewable energy sources. To ensure secure operation and economic integration of PV in smart grids, accurate forecasting of PV power is an important issue. In this paper, we propose the use of long short-term memory recurrent neural network (LSTM-RNN) to accurately forecast the output power of PV systems. The LSTM networks can model the temporal changes in PV output power because of their recurrent architecture and memory units. The proposed method is evaluated using hourly datasets of different sites for a year. We compare the proposed method with three PV forecasting methods. The use of LSTM offers a further reduction in the forecasting error compared with the other methods. The proposed forecasting method can be a helpful tool for planning and controlling smart grids.
TL;DR: In this paper, a review of the use of reinforcement learning for demand response applications in the smart grid is presented, and the authors identify a need to further explore reinforcement learning to coordinate multi-agent systems that can participate in demand response programs under demand-dependent electricity prices.
TL;DR: The proposed approach mainly addresses energy trading users’ privacy in smart grid and screens the distribution of energy sale of sellers deriving from the fact that various energy trading volumes can be mined to detect its relationships with other information, such as physical location and energy usage.
Abstract: Implementing blockchain techniques has enabled secure smart trading in many realms, e.g. neighboring energy trading. However, trading information recorded on the blockchain also brings privacy concerns. Attackers can utilize data mining algorithms to obtain users’ privacy, specially, when the user group is located in nearby geographic positions. In this paper, we present a consortium blockchain-oriented approach to solve the problem of privacy leakage without restricting trading functions. The proposed approach mainly addresses energy trading users’ privacy in smart grid and screens the distribution of energy sale of sellers deriving from the fact that various energy trading volumes can be mined to detect its relationships with other information, such as physical location and energy usage. Experiment evaluations have demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
TL;DR: The relationship of IoT and SG, a huge dynamic global network infrastructure of Internet-enabled entities with web services, and some IoT architectures in SG are talked about.
Abstract: Internet of Things (IoT) is a connection of people and things at any time, in any place, with anyone and anything, using any network and any service. Thus, IoT is a huge dynamic global network infrastructure of Internet-enabled entities with web services. One of the most important applications of IoT is the Smart Grid (SG). SG is a data communications network which is integrated with the power grid to collect and analyze data that are acquired from transmission lines, distribution substations, and consumers. In this paper, we talk about IoT and SG and their relationship. Some IoT architectures in SG, requirements for using IoT in SG, IoT applications and services in SG, and challenges and future work are discussed.
TL;DR: This paper proposes bilateral contract networks as a new scalable market design for peer-to-peer energy trading, consisting of energy contracts offered between generators with fuel-based sources, suppliers acting as intermediaries and consumers with inflexible loads, time-coupled flexible loads and/or renewable sources.
Abstract: This paper proposes bilateral contract networks as a new scalable market design for peer-to-peer energy trading Coordinating small-scale distributed energy resources to shape overall demand could offer significant value to power systems, by alleviating the need for investments in upstream generation and transmission infrastructure, increasing network efficiency and increasing energy security However, incentivising coordination between the owners of large-scale and small-scale energy resources at different levels of the power system remains an unsolved challenge This paper introduces real-time and forward markets, consisting of energy contracts offered between generators with fuel-based sources, suppliers acting as intermediaries and consumers with inflexible loads, time-coupled flexible loads and/or renewable sources For each type of agent, utility-maximising preferences for real-time contracts and forward contracts are derived It is shown that these preferences satisfy full substitutability conditions essential for establishing the existence of a stable outcome—an agreed network of contracts specifying energy trades and prices, which agents do not wish to mutually deviate from Important characteristics of energy trading are incorporated, including upstream–downstream energy balance and forward market uncertainty Full substitutability ensures a distributed price-adjustment process can be used, which only requires local agent decisions and agent-to-agent communication between trading partners
TL;DR: This article presents an efficient energy scheduling scheme with deep reinforcement learning for the proposed framework of an IoT-based energy management system based on edge computing infrastructure withDeep reinforcement learning.
Abstract: In recent years, green energy management systems (smart grid, smart buildings, and so on) have received huge research and industrial attention with the explosive development of smart cities. By introducing Internet of Things (IoT) technology, smart cities are able to achieve exquisite energy management by ubiquitous monitoring and reliable communications. However, long-term energy efficiency has become an important issue when using an IoT-based network structure. In this article, we focus on designing an IoT-based energy management system based on edge computing infrastructure with deep reinforcement learning. First, an overview of IoT-based energy management in smart cities is described. Then the framework and software model of an IoT-based system with edge computing are proposed. After that, we present an efficient energy scheduling scheme with deep reinforcement learning for the proposed framework. Finally, we illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed scheme.
TL;DR: In this article, the benefits of using deep reinforcement learning (RL) to perform on-line optimization of schedules for building energy management systems are explored. But, the authors do not consider the impact of different types of data.
Abstract: Unprecedented high volumes of data are becoming available with the growth of the advanced metering infrastructure. These are expected to benefit planning and operation of the future power systems and to help customers transition from a passive to an active role. In this paper, we explore for the first time in the smart grid context the benefits of using deep reinforcement learning, a hybrid type of methods that combines reinforcement learning with deep learning, to perform on-line optimization of schedules for building energy management systems. The learning procedure was explored using two methods, Deep Q-learning and deep policy gradient, both of which have been extended to perform multiple actions simultaneously. The proposed approach was validated on the large-scale Pecan Street Inc. database. This highly dimensional database includes information about photovoltaic power generation, electric vehicles and buildings appliances. Moreover, these on-line energy scheduling strategies could be used to provide real-time feedback to consumers to encourage more efficient use of electricity.
TL;DR: It was concluded that success in integrating more distributed generation hinges on accurate hosting capacity assessment, and a systematic and extensive overview of the HC research, developments, assessment techniques and enhancement technologies is provided.
TL;DR: A comprehensive survey on the IoT-aided smart grid systems is presented in this article, which includes the existing architectures, applications, and prototypes of the IoTaided SG systems.
Abstract: Traditional power grids are being transformed into smart grids (SGs) to address the issues in the existing power system due to uni-directional information flow, energy wastage, growing energy demand, reliability, and security. SGs offer bi-directional energy flow between service providers and consumers, involving power generation, transmission, distribution, and utilization systems. SGs employ various devices for the monitoring, analysis, and control of the grid, deployed at power plants, distribution centers, and in consumers' premises in a very large number. Hence, an SG requires connectivity, automation, and the tracking of such devices. This is achieved with the help of the Internet of Things (IoT). The IoT helps SG systems to support various network functions throughout the generation, transmission, distribution, and consumption of energy by incorporating the IoT devices (such as sensors, actuators, and smart meters), as well as by providing the connectivity, automation, and tracking for such devices. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive survey on the IoT-aided SG systems, which includes the existing architectures, applications, and prototypes of the IoT-aided SG systems. This survey also highlights the open issues, challenges, and future research directions for the IoT-aided SG systems.
TL;DR: A model-free approach based on deep reinforcement learning is proposed to determine the optimal strategy for charging strategy due to the existence of randomness in traffic conditions, user's commuting behavior, and the pricing process of the utility.
Abstract: Driven by the recent advances in electric vehicle (EV) technologies, EVs have become important for smart grid economy. When EVs participate in demand response program which has real-time pricing signals, the charging cost can be greatly reduced by taking full advantage of these pricing signals. However, it is challenging to determine an optimal charging strategy due to the existence of randomness in traffic conditions, user’s commuting behavior, and the pricing process of the utility. Conventional model-based approaches require a model of forecast on the uncertainty and optimization for the scheduling process. In this paper, we formulate this scheduling problem as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) with unknown transition probability. A model-free approach based on deep reinforcement learning is proposed to determine the optimal strategy for this problem. The proposed approach can adaptively learn the transition probability and does not require any system model information. The architecture of the proposed approach contains two networks: a representation network to extract discriminative features from the electricity prices and a Q network to approximate the optimal action-value function. Numerous experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
TL;DR: It is found that SSTs are less efficient than low-frequency transformers (LFTs), yet their prospective prices are significantly higher, and four essential challenges in detail are discussed, distilled into an applicability flowchart for SST technology.
Abstract: Solid-state transformers (SSTs) are power electronic converters that provide isolation between a medium-voltage and a low-voltage (LV) system using medium-frequency transformers. The power electronic stages enable full-range control of the terminal voltages and currents and hence of the active and reactive power flows. Thus, SSTs are envisioned as key components of a smart grid. Various SST concepts have been proposed and analyzed in literature concerning technical aspects. However, several issues could potentially limit the applicability of SSTs in distribution grids. Therefore, this paper discusses four essential challenges in detail. It is found that SSTs are less efficient than low-frequency transformers (LFTs), yet their prospective prices are significantly higher. Furthermore, SSTs are not compatible with the protection schemes employed in today’s LV grids, i.e., they are not drop-in replacements for LFTs. The limited voltage control range typically required in distribution grids can be provided by competing solutions, which do not involve power electronics (e.g., LFTs with tap changers), or by hybrid transformers, where the comparably inefficient power electronic stage processes only a fraction of the total power. Finally, potential application scenarios of SSTs (ac-dc, dc-dc, weight/space limited applications) are discussed. All considerations are distilled into an applicability flowchart for SST technology.
TL;DR: A comprehensive study on the application of big data and machine learning in the electrical power grid introduced through the emergence of the next-generation power system—the smart grid (SG), with current limitations with viable solutions along with their effectiveness.
Abstract: This paper conducts a comprehensive study on the application of big data and machine learning in the electrical power grid introduced through the emergence of the next-generation power system-the smart grid (SG). Connectivity lies at the core of this new grid infrastructure, which is provided by the Internet of Things (IoT). This connectivity, and constant communication required in this system, also introduced a massive data volume that demands techniques far superior to conventional methods for proper analysis and decision-making. The IoT-integrated SG system can provide efficient load forecasting and data acquisition technique along with cost-effectiveness. Big data analysis and machine learning techniques are essential to reaping these benefits. In the complex connected system of SG, cyber security becomes a critical issue; IoT devices and their data turning into major targets of attacks. Such security concerns and their solutions are also included in this paper. Key information obtained through literature review is tabulated in the corresponding sections to provide a clear synopsis; and the findings of this rigorous review are listed to give a concise picture of this area of study and promising future fields of academic and industrial research, with current limitations with viable solutions along with their effectiveness.
TL;DR: The motivation, state-of-the-art, and future directions of the coordination of transmission system operators (TSO) and distribution system operator (DSO) are thoroughly discussed.
Abstract: In this paper, we review the emerging challenges and research opportunities for voltage control in smart grids. For transmission grids, the voltage control for accommodating wind and solar power, fault-induced delayed voltage recovery, and measurement-based Thevenin equivalent for voltage stability analysis are reviewed. For distribution grids, the impact of high penetration of distributed energy resources is analyzed, typical control strategies are reviewed, and the challenges for local inverter Volt–Var control is discussed. In addition, the motivation, state-of-the-art, and future directions of the coordination of transmission system operators (TSO) and distribution system operators (DSO) are also thoroughly discussed.
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors conduct a systematic literature review to analyze operational strategies (e.g., peak shaving, operations optimization), technology usage, alternative fuels and energy management systems for improving the energy efficiency and environmental performance of ports and terminals.
Abstract: Many ports and terminals endeavor to enhance energy efficiency as energy prices have increased through years and climate change mitigation is a key target for the port industry. Stricter environmental regulations are adopted by authorities to limit pollutants and GHG emissions arising from energy consumption. Increasingly, port operational strategies and energy usage patterns are under scrutiny. To ingrain sustainability and environmental protection of ports, the use of innovative technology appears as a critical conduit in achieving a transition from a carbon-intensive port industry (dependent on fossil fuels) to a low-carbon port model by harnessing renewable energy, alternative fuels (e.g. LNG, hydrogen, biofuel), smarter power distribution systems, energy consumption measurement systems. In this context, this paper conducts a systematic literature review to analyze operational strategies (e.g. peak shaving, operations optimization), technology usage (e.g. electrification of equipment, cold-ironing, energy storage systems), renewable energy, alternative fuels and energy management systems (e.g. smart grid with renewable energy) for improving the energy efficiency and environmental performance of ports and terminals. Research gaps and future research directions are identified. Analysis shows that there is a great potential for ports to achieve further energy efficiency and researchers have many impactful research opportunities.
TL;DR: This paper proposes a model permissioned blockchain edge model for smart grid network (PBEM-SGN) to address the two significant issues in smart grid, privacy protections, and energy security, by means of combining blockchain and edge computing techniques.
Abstract: The blooming trend of smart grid deployment is engaged by the evolution of the network technology, as the connected environment offers various alternatives for electrical data collections. Having diverse data sharing/transfer means is deemed an important aspect in enabling intelligent controls/governance in smart grid. However, security and privacy concerns also are introduced while flexible communication services are provided, such as energy depletion and infrastructure mapping attacks. This paper proposes a model permissioned blockchain edge model for smart grid network (PBEM-SGN) to address the two significant issues in smart grid, privacy protections, and energy security, by means of combining blockchain and edge computing techniques. We use group signatures and covert channel authorization techniques to guarantee users’ validity. An optimal security-aware strategy is constructed by smart contracts running on the blockchain. Our experiments have evaluated the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
TL;DR: In this paper, a permissioned energy blockchain system is introduced to implement secure charging services for EVs with the execution of smart contracts, and a reputation-based delegated Byzantine fault tolerance consensus algorithm is proposed to efficiently achieve the consensus in the permissioned blockchain.
Abstract: The smart community (SC), as an important part of the Internet of Energy (IoE), can facilitate integration of distributed renewable energy sources and electric vehicles (EVs) in the smart grid. However, due to the potential security and privacy issues caused by untrusted and opaque energy markets, it becomes a great challenge to optimally schedule the charging behaviors of EVs with distinct energy consumption preferences in SC. In this paper, we propose a contract-based energy blockchain for secure EV charging in SC. First, a permissioned energy blockchain system is introduced to implement secure charging services for EVs with the execution of smart contracts. Second, a reputation-based delegated Byzantine fault tolerance consensus algorithm is proposed to efficiently achieve the consensus in the permissioned blockchain. Third, based on the contract theory, the optimal contracts are analyzed and designed to satisfy EVs’ individual needs for energy sources while maximizing the operator’s utility. Furthermore, a novel energy allocation mechanism is proposed to allocate the limited renewable energy for EVs. Finally, extensive numerical results are carried out to evaluate and demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed scheme through comparison with other conventional schemes.
TL;DR: The concept of Proof of Energy is proposed as a novel consensus protocol for P2P energy exchanges managed by DLT and an application of the proposed infrastructure considering a Virtual Power Plant aggregator and residential prosumers endowed with a new transactive controller to manage the electrical storage system is discussed.
Abstract: The unpredictability and intermittency introduced by Renewable Energy Sources (RESs) in power systems may lead to unforeseen peaks of energy production, which might differ from energy demand. To manage these mismatches, a proper communication between prosumers (i.e., users with RESs that can either inject or absorb energy) and active users (i.e., users that agree to have their loads changed according to the system needs) is required. To achieve this goal, the centralized approach used in traditional power systems is no longer possible because both prosumers and active users would like to take part in energy transactions, and a decentralized approach based on transactive energy systems (TESs) and Peer-to-Peer (P2P) energy transactions should be adopted. In this context, the Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT), based on the blockchain concept arises as the most promising solution to enable smart contracts between prosumers and active users, which are safely guarded in blocks with cryptographic hashes. The aim of this paper is to provide a review about the deployment of decentralized TESs and to propose and discuss a transactive management infrastructure. In this context, the concept of Proof of Energy is proposed as a novel consensus protocol for P2P energy exchanges managed by DLT. An application of the proposed infrastructure considering a Virtual Power Plant (VPP) aggregator and residential prosumers endowed with a new transactive controller to manage the electrical storage system is discussed.
TL;DR: A comprehensive survey on the application of blockchain in smart grid, identifying the significant security challenges of smart grid scenarios that can be addressed by blockchain and presenting a number of blockchain-based recent research works presented in different literature addressing security issues.
Abstract: The concept of smart grid has been introduced as a new vision of the conventional power grid to figure out an efficient way of integrating green and renewable energy technologies. In this way, Internet-connected smart grid, also called energy Internet, is also emerging as an innovative approach to ensure the energy from anywhere at any time. The ultimate goal of these developments is to build a sustainable society. However, integrating and coordinating a large number of growing connections can be a challenging issue for the traditional centralized grid system. Consequently, the smart grid is undergoing a transformation to the decentralized topology from its centralized form. On the other hand, blockchain has some excellent features which make it a promising application for smart grid paradigm. In this paper, we aim to provide a comprehensive survey on application of blockchain in smart grid. As such, we identify the significant security challenges of smart grid scenarios that can be addressed by blockchain. Then, we present a number of blockchain-based recent research works presented in different literatures addressing security issues in the area of smart grid. We also summarize several related practical projects, trials, and products that have been emerged recently. Finally, we discuss essential research challenges and future directions of applying blockchain to smart grid security issues.
TL;DR: In this article, an optimization model and blockchain-based architecture to manage the operation of crowdsourced energy systems (CESs), with peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading transactions (ETTs), is presented.
Abstract: The power grid is rapidly transforming, and while recent grid innovations increased the utilization of advanced control methods, the next-generation grid demands technologies that enable the integration of distributed energy resources (DERs)—and consumers that both seamlessly buy and sell electricity. This paper develops an optimization model and blockchain-based architecture to manage the operation of crowdsourced energy systems (CESs), with peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading transactions (ETTs). An operational model of CESs in distribution networks is presented considering various types of ETT and crowdsourcees. Then, a two-phase operation algorithm is presented: Phase I focuses on the day-ahead scheduling of generation and controllable DERs, whereas Phase II is developed for hour-ahead or real-time operation of distribution networks. The developed approach supports seamless P2P energy trading between individual prosumers and/or the utility. The presented operational model can also be used to operate islanded microgrids. The CES framework and the operation algorithm are then prototyped through an efficient blockchain implementation, namely, the IBM Hyperledger Fabric. This implementation allows the system operator to manage the network users to seamlessly trade energy. Case studies and prototype illustration are provided.
TL;DR: In this article, the authors consider the dynamic average consensus problem, where a group of agents cooperate to track the average of locally available time-varying reference signals, where each agent is capable only of local computations and communicating with local neighbors.
Abstract: Technological advances in ad hoc networking and the availability of low-cost reliable computing, data storage, and sensing devices have made scenarios possible where the coordination of many subsystems extends the range of human capabilities. Smart grid operations, smart transportation, smart health care, and sensing networks for environmental monitoring and exploration in hazardous situations are just a few examples of such network operations. In these applications, the ability of a network system to (in a decentralized fashion) fuse information, compute common estimates of unknown quantities, and agree on a common view of the world is critical. These problems can be formulated as agreement problems on linear combinations of dynamically changing reference signals or local parameters. This dynamic agreement problem corresponds to dynamic average consensus, which, as discussed in "Summary," is the problem of interest of this article. The dynamic average consensus problem is for a group of agents to cooperate to track the average of locally available time-varying reference signals, where each agent is capable only of local computations and communicating with local neighbors.
TL;DR: Simulation results show that this proposed incentive-based demand response algorithm induces demand side participation, promotes service provider and customers profitabilities, and improves system reliability by balancing energy resources, which can be regarded as a win-win strategy for both service providers and customers.
TL;DR: A comprehensive security understanding of the SGs framework, attacks scenarios, detection/protection methods, estimation and control strategies from both communication and control viewpoints are addressed.
Abstract: Smart grids (SGs), which can be classified into a class of networked distributed control systems, are designed to deliver electricity from various plants through a communication network to serve individual consumers. Due to the complexity of environments, the distribution of the spatial locations and vulnerability of the communication networks, cyber security emerges to be a critical issue because millions of electronic devices are interconnected via communication networks throughout critical power facilities. This paper addresses a comprehensive security understanding of the SGs framework, attacks scenarios, detection/protection methods, estimation and control strategies from both communication and control viewpoints. Also, some potential challenges and solution approaches are discussed to deal with the threat issues of SGs. At last, some conclusions and highlight future research directions are presented.
TL;DR: This paper proposes how a motivational psychology framework can be used effectively to design peer-to-peer energy trading to increase user participation, and how the outcomes of the scheme satisfy all the motivational psychology models shows its potential to attract users to participate in energy trading.
TL;DR: A hybrid ensemble deep learning framework is proposed to forecast short-term photovoltaic power generation in a time series manner and adopted the attention mechanism for the two LSTM neural networks to adaptively focus on input features that are more significant in forecasting.
Abstract: Photovoltaic power generation forecasting is an important topic in the field of sustainable power system design, energy conversion management, and smart grid construction. Difficulties arise while the generated PV power is usually unstable due to the variability of solar irradiance, temperature, and other meteorological factors. In this paper, a hybrid ensemble deep learning framework is proposed to forecast short-term photovoltaic power generation in a time series manner. Two LSTM neural networks are employed working on temperature and power outputs forecasting, respectively. The forecasting results are flattened and combined with a fully connected layer to enhance forecasting accuracy. Moreover, we adopted the attention mechanism for the two LSTM neural networks to adaptively focus on input features that are more significant in forecasting. Comprehensive experiments are conducted with recently collected real-world photovoltaic power generation datasets. Three error metrics were adopted to compare the forecasting results produced by attention LSTM model with state-of-art methods, including the persistent model, the auto-regressive integrated moving average model with exogenous variable (ARIMAX), multi-layer perceptron (MLP), and the traditional LSTM model in all four seasons and various forecasting horizons to show the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method.
TL;DR: Comparisons with other state-of-the-art deep neural networks and traditional methods proves that the proposed method can overcome defects of traditional signal process and artificial feature selection.
TL;DR: An electricity theft detection system is proposed based on a combination of a convolutional neural network (CNN) and a long short-term memory (LSTM) architecture that can classify both the majority class and the minority class with good accuracy.
Abstract: Among an electricity provider’s non-technical losses, electricity theft has the most severe and dangerous effects. Fraudulent electricity consumption decreases the supply quality, increases generation load, causes legitimate consumers to pay excessive electricity bills, and affects the overall economy. The adaptation of smart grids can significantly reduce this loss through data analysis techniques. The smart grid infrastructure generates a massive amount of data, including the power consumption of individual users. Utilizing this data, machine learning and deep learning techniques can accurately identify electricity theft users. In this paper, an electricity theft detection system is proposed based on a combination of a convolutional neural network (CNN) and a long short-term memory (LSTM) architecture. CNN is a widely used technique that automates feature extraction and the classification process. Since the power consumption signature is time-series data, we were led to build a CNN-based LSTM (CNN-LSTM) model for smart grid data classification. In this work, a novel data pre-processing algorithm was also implemented to compute the missing instances in the dataset, based on the local values relative to the missing data point. Furthermore, in this dataset, the count of electricity theft users was relatively low, which could have made the model inefficient at identifying theft users. This class imbalance scenario was addressed through synthetic data generation. Finally, the results obtained indicate the proposed scheme can classify both the majority class (normal users) and the minority class (electricity theft users) with good accuracy.