TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyzed a sequential bargaining model in which players are optimistic about their bargaining power (measured as the probability of making offers), but learn as they play the game and showed that there exists a uniquely predetermined settlement date, such that in equilibrium the players always reach an agreement at that date, but never reach one before it.
Abstract: I analyze a sequential bargaining model in which players are optimistic about their bargaining power (measured as the probability of making offers), but learn as they play the game. I show that there exists a uniquely predetermined settlement date, such that in equilibrium the players always reach an agreement at that date, but never reach one before it. Given any discount rate, if the learning is sufficiently slow, the players agree immediately. I show that, for any speed of learning, the agreement is delayed arbitrarily long, provided that the players are sufficiently patient. Therefore, although excessive optimism alone cannot cause delay, it can cause long delays if the players are expected to learn.
TL;DR: In this article, the authors study the stock market reaction to the announcement of operational losses in European financial companies and find a significant negative stock price reaction following the first press announcement of an operational loss.
Abstract: In this paper I study the stock market reaction to the announcement of operational losses in European financial companies. Accounting for the effect of the nominal loss amount allows for an examination of the reputational damage caused by operational loss events. The analysis is based on a sample of 136 operational losses stemming from a database of the Association of German Public Sector Banks (Bundesverband offentlicher Banken, VOB). All operational loss events affect European financial institutions with settlements reported by the press between January 2000 and December 2009. In line with previous literature, I find a significant negative stock price reaction to the first press announcement of operational losses. Results show that the stock market also reacts negatively to the settlement announcement as losses are confirmed and the loss amount is known. Even after accounting for the nominal loss amount, cumulative abnormal returns are negative following the date of the initial news article and the settlement date indicating damages to the reputation of the firm suffering the operational loss. Multivariate regression results suggest that reputational damages are rather influenced by firm characteristics than characteristics of the operational loss event: companies with a high ratio of liabilities to total assets suffer more severe damages to reputation from operational losses than companies with more equity.
TL;DR: In this article, a method of trading includes performing a transaction of a futures contract between a buyer and a seller, which is associated with at least one entertainment event and comprises a purchase price and a settlement date.
Abstract: A method of trading includes performing a transaction of a futures contract between a buyer and a seller. The futures contract is associated with at least one entertainment event and comprises a purchase price and a settlement date. The method concludes by performing a settlement of the futures contract based at least in part upon the purchase price and a value associated with the entertainment event at the settlement date. The entertainment event is associated with a security and the transaction of the futures contract is performed in conjunction with the issuance of the security to the seller.
TL;DR: In many countries settlements take place a fixed number of business days after the transaction and all transactions performed before this date are settled then, referred to as countries with a fixed settlement date as mentioned in this paper.
Abstract: In many countries settlements take place a fixed number of business days after the transaction (U.S., Japan). In other countries settlements take place periodically on a fixed date when all transactions performed before this date are settled (U.K., France, Italy). In both cases settlement procedures should cause returns not to be identically distributed over all days. The effect is likely to be the largest on markets where all trades are settled only once a month. An empirical investigation of the largest of those markets, the Paris Bourse, demonstrates the importance of the settlement procedure on the distribution of daily returns. SETTLEMENT PROCEDURES VARY CONSIDERABLY across national stock markets. In many countries settlements take place a fixed number of business days after the transaction. These countries are referred to in this paper as countries with a fixed settlement lag. In other countries settlements take place periodically on a fixed date and all transactions performed before this date are settled then. These countries are referred to as countries with a fixed settlement date. In both cases settlement procedures should cause returns not to be identically distributed over all days.
TL;DR: The TMPG fails charge for U.S. Treasury securities was introduced in May 2009 and replaced an existing market convention of simply postponing - without any explicit penalty and at an unchanged invoice price - a seller's obligation to deliver Treasury securities if the seller fails to deliver the securities on a scheduled settlement date.
Abstract: The TMPG fails charge for U.S. Treasury securities provides that a buyer of Treasury securities can claim monetary compensation from the seller if the seller fails to deliver the securities on a timely basis. The charge was introduced in May 2009 and replaced an existing market convention of simply postponing - without any explicit penalty and at an unchanged invoice price - a seller’s obligation to deliver Treasury securities if the seller fails to deliver the securities on a scheduled settlement date. This article explains how a proliferation of settlement fails following the insolvency of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in September 2008 led the Treasury Market Practices Group (TMPG) - a group of market professionals committed to supporting the integrity and efficiency of the U.S. Treasury market - to promote a change in the existing market convention. The change - the introduction of the fails charge - was significant because it mitigated an important dysfunctionality in the secondary market for U.S. Treasury securities and because it stands as an example of the value of cooperation between the public and private sectors in responding to altered market conditions in a flexible, timely, and innovative fashion.