TL;DR: In this article, the authors focus on the nature and impact of "momentum" in the contemporary presidential election process and examine the likely consequences of some proposed alternatives to the current nominating process, including a regional primary system and a one day national primary.
Abstract: This innovative study blends sophisticated statistical analyses, campaign anecdotes, and penetrating political insight to produce a fascinating exploration of one of America's most controversial political institutions--the process by which our major parties nominate candidates for the presidency. Larry Bartels focuses on the nature and impact of "momentum" in the contemporary nominating system. He describes the complex interconnections among primary election results, expectations, and subsequent primary results that have made it possible for candidates like Jimmy Carter, George Bush, and Gary Hart to emerge from relative obscurity into political prominence in recent nominating campaigns. In the course of his analysis, he addresses questions central to any understanding--or evaluation--of the modern nominating process. How do fundamental political predispositions influence the behavior of primary voters? How quickly does the public learn about new candidates? Under what circumstances will primary success itself generate subsequent primary success? And what are the psychological processes underlying this dynamic tendency?Professor Bartels examines the likely consequences of some proposed alternatives to the current nominating process, including a regional primary system and a one-day national primary. Thus the work will be of interest to political activists, would-be reformers, and interested observers of the American political scene, as well as to students of public opinion, voting behavior, the news media, campaigns, and electoral institutions.
TL;DR: This article used a simple model of the votes a candidate might be expected to receive, using data from the 1985 English non-metropolitan county council elections to shed light on the paucity of women in local elected office.
Abstract: There has been considerable controversy over the reasons why women hold less than 20 per cent of all local council offices in England. Using a simple model of the votes a candidate might be expected to receive, this Note uses data from the 1985 English non-metropolitan county council elections to shed light on the paucity of women in local elected office. Our analysis evaluates the following alternative explanations for the low proportions of women in local office:1. Relatively few women are selected by parties to run for local office;2. Parties tend to nominate their women candidates for unwinnable races;3. Voters disproportionately vote against women candidates.
TL;DR: The authors analyzes the interests of those who established and operated nonpartisan slating groups and finds that slating-group domination of city electoral politics worked to the systematic disadvantage of disfavored minorities.
Abstract: Nonpartisan slating groups are organizations that recruit, nominate, finance, and campaign on behalf of a slate of candidates in a system of effective nonpartisanship. This article analyzes the interests of those who established and operated these slating groups. Examining the origins, success, and bases of electoral support of these groups revealed that in contemporary city politics, they long served to institutionalize further the upper and middle class, and white ethnic and racial biases of the Municipal Reform Movement of the Progressive Era. As such, slating-group domination of city electoral politics worked to the systematic disadvantage of disfavored minorities.