TL;DR: The authors survey the recent literature on learning in financial markets and show that many financial market phenomena that appear puzzling at first sight are easier to understand once we recognize that parameters in financial models are uncertain and subject to learning.
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors provide a fresh analysis of the European financial system by combining theory, empirical data and policy, examining and explaining financial markets, financial infrastructures, financial institutions, and challenges in the domain of financial supervision and competition policy.
Abstract: Written for undergraduate and graduate students of finance, economics and business, this textbook provides a fresh analysis of the European financial system. Combining theory, empirical data and policy, it examines and explains financial markets, financial infrastructures, financial institutions, and challenges in the domain of financial supervision and competition policy. Key features:Designed specifically for courses on European financial integrationClear signposting and presentation of text with learning objectives, boxes for key concepts and theories, chapter overviews and suggestions for further reading Broad coverage of European financial system – markets, infrastructure and institutions Explains the ongoing process of financial integration, in particular the impact of the euroExamines financial systems of new member statesUses up-to-date European data throughout A companion website will be available with exercises and freely downloadable solutions.
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors explore one specific channel through which finance promotes growth: the allocation of capital, and find that countries with developed financial markets invest more in growing industries, and pull out more funds of declining ones.
Abstract: We explore one specific channel through which finance promotes growth: the allocation of capital. Using international industrial data, we find that countries with developed financial markets invest more in growing industries, and pull out more funds of declining ones. Most interestingly, this pattern is more eminent for those industries more dependent on external financing. Various robustness checks show that the results are not driven by reverse causality, omitted variables, specific countries or industries.
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examine the unfolding of the U.S. subprime-generated turmoil and its potential spillover effects on Asia's emerging financial systems, and highlight the need to enhance transparency and governance, improving risk management, strengthening regulation and supervision, and deepening and broadening financial systems.
Abstract: This paper examines the unfolding of the U.S. sub-prime-generated turmoil and its potential spillover effects on Asia's emerging financial systems. The sub-prime mortgage mess has revealed key structural weaknesses in the evolution of modern credit markets. Although emerging Asian financial markets have suffered only limited impact thus far, they remain open to further contagion given underlying weaknesses in the region's financial systems. Rapid financial globalization also poses new challenges as the region's largely unsophisticated banking and financial systems strive to keep up with the evolving financial environment. Policy priorities to foster regional financial stability include enhancing transparency and governance, improving risk management, strengthening regulation and supervision, and deepening and broadening financial systems, especially by developing local currency bond markets.
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present different uses of flow-of-funds statistics for economic and monetary analysis in the euro area and report the outcome of a sensitivity analysis that considers the impact of interest rate changes on the interest payments and receipts of households and non-financial corporations.
Abstract: The financial crisis has enhanced the need for close monitoring of financial flows in the economy of the euro area and at the global level focusing, in particular, on the development of financial imbalances and financial intermediation. In this context flow-of-funds analysis appears particularly useful, as flow-of-funds data provide the most comprehensive and consistent set of macro-financial information for all sectors in the economy. This occasional paper presents different uses of flow-of-funds statistics for economic and monetary analysis in the euro area. Flow-of-funds data for the euro area have developed progressively over the past decade. The first data were published in 2001, and fully-fledged quarterly integrated economic and financial accounts by institutional sector have been published since 2007. The paper illustrates how flow-of-funds data enable portfolio shifts between money and other financial assets to be assessed and trends in bank intermediation to be monitored, in particular. Based on data (and first published estimates) on financial wealth over the period 1980-2007, the paper analyses developments in the balance sheet of households and non-financial corporations in euro area countries over the last few decades and looks at financial soundness indicators using flow-of-funds data, namely debt and debt service ratios, and measures of financial wealth. Interactions with housing investment and saving are also analysed. In addition, the paper shows how flow-of-funds data can be used for assessing financial stability. Finally, the paper presents the framework for and use of flow-of-funds projections produced in the context of the Eurosystem staff macroeconomic projection exercises, and reports the outcome of a sensitivity analysis that considers the impact of interest rate changes on the interest payments and receipts of households and non-financial corporations.
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors have collected annual information on financial market development, financial openness, and other control variables for a sample of 145 countries for the period 1974-2007, and found that rising financial openness expands private credit, bank assets, and stock market and private bond market development.
Abstract: Advanced and emerging market economies have rapidly integrated into international capital markets and this growing globalization of financial markets has led to some important changes in the patterns of saving and investment across the world. The main goal of this paper is to test whether the cross-border asset trade has led to improvements in the intermediation of these savings -- that is, foster development of domestic financial markets. The authors have collected annual information on financial market development, financial openness, and other control variables for a sample of 145 countries for the period 1974-2007. Controlling for the likely endogeneity of financial openness, the analysis finds that rising financial openness expands private credit, bank assets, and stock market and private bond market development, and generates efficiency gains in the banking system. However, the impact of financial openness on domestic financial development may depend on the level of institutional quality, the extent of investor protection, and the degree of trade openness. In general, rising financial openness will enlarge the size and activity of financial intermediaries, improve efficiency in the banking system, and contribute to deepen private bond markets in countries with moderate to high levels of institutional quality and investor protection as well as in countries with high trade openness.
TL;DR: In this paper, a financial market replicator, simulator, and trainer/annotator (FMRS) intermixes and records data streams of real-time financial market data from a variety of sources.
Abstract: A financial market replicator, simulator, and trainer/annotator (FMRS) intermixes and records data streams of real time financial market data from a variety of sources. The FMRS replays such recorded data to simulate the real time financial market(s) in a manner that represents substantially the entirety of information relating to the financial market(s) such that an observer would have difficulty differentiating between the simulator playback of the data and real time data. A user may employ the playback of the recorded market data stream as a research and training tool for developing and executing trading strategies. For example, a user may input simulated trades of securities to test a trading strategy. The simulator would apply those trades to the recorded data to generate simulated trades and simulated profit and loss results. A user may then determine if the trading strategy would have been successful. In addition, a user may alter the recording and playback parameters to provide various opportunities for studying market activity and/or altering the level of challenge of the simulation. A user may also freeze the simulator playback in order to explore the interactive and collective behaviors of the market's participants and the securities they trade.
TL;DR: In this paper, a computer-implemented method controls commercial transactions involving a portfolio of financial products by conducting business operations related to commercial transactions between a bank and consumer involving purchase and utilization of the financial products.
Abstract: A computer-implemented method controls commercial transactions involving a portfolio of financial products by conducting business operations related to commercial transactions between a bank and consumer involving purchase and utilization of the financial products, collecting transactional data related to the financial products, and providing a centralized modeling and optimization tool to predict customer response to changes in an attribute of a financial product under evaluation based on the transactional data and to optimize the variable of the financial product under evaluation. The modeling and optimization tool is configurable to evaluate the financial products in the portfolio under KPIs and business rules selected according to the financial product under evaluation. The optimized variable is transmitted to the bank. The movement and utilization of the financial products between the customer and bank is controlled in accordance with the predicted customer response to changes in the optimized variable of the financial product.
TL;DR: In this article, the authors used data envelopment analysis (DEA) to evaluate the relative financial strength of thirteen financial services firms by benchmarking the financial ratios of a firm against its peers.
Abstract: The ongoing credit crisis in the financial markets has led to tremendous turmoil in the financial services industry. As a result, during the last one year, we have seen a substantial decline in the profitability and liquidity of the financial services companies. In this paper, we analyse the financial performance of thirteen leading financial services firms to evaluate their relative standing in the industry. We illustrate the use of data envelopment analysis (DEA), an operations research technique, to evaluate the relative financial strength of thirteen financial services firms by benchmarking the financial ratios of a firm against its peers. DEA clearly brings out the firms that are operating more efficiently in comparison to other firms in the industry, and points out the areas in which poorly performing firms need to improve.
TL;DR: In this article, the authors discuss two recent cases of collaborative re-capitalization events to illustrate how this regime is evolving in practice and discuss the potential for new governance solutions for the global market place.
TL;DR: In this article, two artificial neural networks have been developed for forecasting the two price indices in Iran's electricity market and the results of these analyses indicate existence of deterministic chaos in addition to non-stationarity property of the system which implies short-term predictability.
TL;DR: The authors assesses the impact of recent financial reforms in China and find a positive and significant liquidity impact associated with the recent round of measures, which reflects not only an improvement in capital allocation efficiency in China's equity market but, from a financial stability point of view, also a reduction in its vulnerability.
Abstract: This paper assesses the impact of the recent financial reforms in China. Following the country's accession to the World Trade Organization, financial liberalisation has picked up considerable momentum. Measures introduced encompass deregulation in the banking sector and refinements in various financial markets, as well as allowing more freedom for Chinese and foreign investors to participate and interact domestically and overseas. Compared to other studies on financial liberalisation, this study focuses on a relatively narrower aspect of financial reforms namely, the impact on stock market liquidity. Using a panel data set drawn from the Shanghai stock market, we find a positive and significant liquidity impact associated with the recent round of measures, which reflects not only an improvement in capital allocation efficiency in China's equity market but, from a financial stability point of view, also a reduction in its vulnerability. The finding also provides evidence on one of the important channels in which financial liberalisation can be transformed into economic growth over time.
TL;DR: In this article, the authors locates the political sources of changing financial structures within the interaction between international structural forces and domestic interest alliances of private and public actors, arguing that the changing patterns of financial markets have not preordained convergence towards the Anglo-American model of capitalism and have shown significant divergences from financial liberalism.
Abstract: The past two decades have witnessed the exponential growth of stock markets and the significant market orientation of financial systems in Malaysia and Taiwan. These changes were well underway prior to the Asian crisis of 1997–98 but have been consolidated and accelerated by post-crisis reforms that have further institutionalized market-oriented practices. However, the changing patterns of financial markets have not preordained convergence towards the Anglo-American model of capitalism and have shown significant divergences from financial liberalism. Challenging the market-driven convergence and historical institutionalist models, this article locates the political sources of changing financial structures within the interaction between international structural forces and domestic interest alliances of private and public actors. This interactive process has not only oriented the national financial architecture towards securities markets but also made market-oriented changes different from the neo-...
TL;DR: In this paper, a list of one or more securities may be selected from a trading blotter and a widget engine may display a graphical representation of the analytics in a manner that compliments the workflow of a trader.
Abstract: Methods, systems, and computer program products are provided for providing real time analytics and monitoring to a user of a securities trading system. In one embodiment, a list of one or more securities may be selected from a trading blotter and a widget engine may obtain one or more analytics for the list of one or more securities based on real time market and/or transaction cost data. The widget engine may display a graphical representation of the analytics in a manner that compliments the workflow of a trader. The graphical representation may be automatically updated based on real-time market data.
TL;DR: In this article, the authors provide an in-depth analysis of one specific form of financial surveillance: the real-time monitoring of financial markets for breaches of trading rules through the use of sophisticated mathematical algorithms and computerized assessment tools.
Abstract: With the emergence of increasingly digitized and electronically mediated financial markets has come a host of new technologies that seek to convert this new-found transparency into opportunities for financial monitoring and oversight. Adopting the term ‘financial surveillance’ as a descriptor for these emergent regulatory technologies, this article first develops this concept and then provides an in-depth analysis of one specific form of financial surveillance: the real-time monitoring of financial markets for breaches of trading rules through the use of sophisticated mathematical algorithms and computerized assessment tools. Based on interviews with the members of one agency, Market Regulation Services Inc., that performs this service on behalf of a number of individual marketplaces, the article examines the possibilities and limits of this surveillance technology as a mode of financial governance, and probes its larger significance as a regulatory device engaged in a particular performance of t...
TL;DR: In this article, the differences between MiFID and Reg NMS are examined and insights as to their likely impact on European and US securities markets are provided, based on market microstructure principles.
Abstract: This paper examines the differences between MiFID and Reg NMS and provides, based on market microstructure principles, insights as to their likely impact on European and US securities markets. Although MiFID and Reg NMS share the common objective of enhancing competition in securities markets, they adopt different provisions with respect to three issues that strongly influence the competition for order flow among trading venues. Specifically, some of the provisions set forth by the US regulation with respect to the best execution duty, the consolidation of market data and the disclosure of execution quality information appear to be more effective, compared to the EU ones, in strengthening competition for order flow among trading venues. The paper also provides an investigation of the degree of market fragmentation among incumbent exchanges and new trading venues in European and US securities markets, and suggests possible explanations for understanding the current macrostructure of such markets.
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a method and system for providing a graphical user interface (GUI) for real-time market tracking, trading and display of financial note, bond, instrument and futures contract information for electronic trading.
Abstract: A method and system for providing a graphical user interface (GUI) for real-time market tracking, trading and display of financial note, bond, instrument and futures contract information for electronic trading. The method and system via the GUI allow display of Treasury note, Treasury bond, futures contract and other entities using quantitative analytics based on customizable real-time market data and customized static values for electronic trading.
TL;DR: In this article, a method for modeling an investment significant parameter of a financial instrument using a computer is presented, where at least one series of historical bid prices or historical ask prices of the financial instrument is provided.
Abstract: A method for modeling an investment significant parameter of a financial instrument, using a computer. At least one series of historical bid prices of the financial instrument or historical ask prices of the financial instrument is provided. A financial model type that has at least one variable parameter is selected. The variable parameter(s) of the selected financial model type is initialized. The series of historical bid prices and/or historical ask prices is applied to the initialized financial model type to estimate the variable parameter(s). The resulting model of the financial instrument may be used to predict future values of the investment significant parameter of the financial instrument. These predicted future values may be used to determine whether to perform automated trades of the financial instrument.
TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigated the extent of algorithmic trading activity and specifically their order placement strategies in comparison to human traders in the Xetra trading system and showed that Algorithmic Trading has become a relevant part of overall market activity.
Abstract: After exchanges and alternative trading venues have introduced electronic execution mechanisms worldwide, the focus of the securities trading industry shifted to the use of fully electronic trading engines by banks, brokers and their institutional customers. These Algorithmic Trading engines enable order submissions without human intervention based on quantitative models applying historical and real-time market data. Although there is a widespread discussion on the pros and cons of Algorithmic Trading and on its impact on market volatility and market quality, little is known on how algorithms actually place their orders in the market and whether and in which respect this differs form other order submissions. Based on a dataset that for the first time includes a specific flag to enable the identification of orders submitted by Algorithmic Trading engines, the paper investigates the extent of Algorithmic Trading activity and specifically their order placement strategies in comparison to human traders in the Xetra trading system. It is shown that Algorithmic Trading has become a relevant part of overall market activity and that Algorithmic Trading engines fundamentally differ from human traders in their order submission, modification and deletion behavior as they exploit real-time market data and latest market movements.
TL;DR: In this article, the authors apply network techniques to develop a framework for analyzing financial contagion that isolate the probability of contagion from its potential spread and suggest that complex financial systems may be robust-yet-fragile in nature.
Abstract: Although the financial systems of advanced countries have weathered numerous shocks in recent years, the events triggered by the sub-prime crisis of August 2007 have been “super-systemic” in scope, enveloping financial institutions across the major economies as well as far away Iceland and New Zealand. In this paper, we apply network techniques to develop a framework for analyzing financial contagion that isolate the probability of contagion from its potential spread. Our results suggest that complex financial systems may be robust-yet-fragile in nature. Under plausible assumptions, the greater connectivity implied by new financial instruments (e.g., credit derivatives) reduces the likelihood of contagion. But the impact on the financial system, in the event of problems, can be on a significantly larger scale than before.
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors deal with the economics of gasification facilities in general and IGCC power plants in particular, and they use the Real Options approach to evaluate the economic value of flexibility.
Abstract: This paper deals with the economics of gasification facilities in general and IGCC power plants in particular. Regarding the prospects of these systems, passing the technological test is one thing, passing the economic test can be quite another. In this respect, traditional valuations assume constant input and/or output prices. Since this is hardly realistic, we allow for uncertainty in prices. We naturally look at the markets where many of the products involved are regularly traded. Futures markets on commodities are particularly useful for valuing uncertain future cash flows. Thus, revenues and variable costs can be assessed by means of sound financial concepts and actual market data. On the other hand, these complex systems provide a number of flexibility options (e.g., to choose among several inputs, outputs, modes of operation, etc.). Typically, flexibility contributes significantly to the overall value of real assets. Indeed, maximization of the asset value requires the optimal exercise of any flexibility option available. Yet the economic value of flexibility is elusive, the more so under (price) uncertainty. And the right choice of input fuels and/or output products is a main concern for the facility managers. As a particular application, we deal with the valuation of input flexibility. We follow the Real Options approach. In addition to economic variables, we also address technical and environmental issues such as energy efficiency, utility performance characteristics and missions (note that carbon constraints are looming). Lastly, a brief introduction to some stochastic processes suitable for valuation purposes is provided.
TL;DR: This paper reviewed the asymmetric information and financial innovation frameworks and applied those to major twenty-first century U.S. financial crises, and posited that financial innovations inexorably create conditions of asymmetric Information that can lead to financial crises and panics.
Abstract: The issues in today’s crisis – and indeed most important crises, historically – can best be understood as a manifestation of asymmetric information in an environment of rapid financial innovation. The present paper reviews the asymmetric information and financial innovation frameworks and applies those to major twentieth century U.S. financial crises. The paper posits that financial innovations inexorably create conditions of asymmetric information that can lead to financial crises and panics. Those events are crucial to the development of plain vanilla financial instruments, providing incentive to forgo margins in favor of liquidity. Hence, regulatory attempts to stabilize markets by manipulating bank failures may ultimately result in substantial setbacks to market development.
TL;DR: Extensive experiments on a large quantity of real-life market data show that trading agents following the recommended strategies have great potential to obtain high benefits while low costs and verifies that it is promising to develop trading agents toward workable and satisfying business needs.
Abstract: Trading agents are useful for developing and back-testing quality trading strategies to support smart trading actions in the market. However, most of the existing trading agent research oversimplifies trading strategies, and focuses on simulated ones. As a result, there exists a big gap between the deliverables and business needs when the developed strategies are deployed into the real life. Therefore, the actionable capability of developed trading agents is often very limited. This paper for the first time introduces effective approaches for optimizing and integrating multiple classes of strategies through trading agent collaboration. An integration and optimization approach is proposed to identify optimal trading strategy in each category, and further integrate optimal strategies crossing classes. Positions associated with these optimal strategies are recommended for trading agents to take actions in the market. Extensive experiments on a large quantity of real-life market data show that trading agents following the recommended strategies have great potential to obtain high benefits while low costs. This verifies that it is promising to develop trading agents toward workable and satisfying business needs.
TL;DR: In this paper, the role of disclosure in the distribution of financial products and other conduct is discussed, as well as the regulatory structure and an overview of financial services reform is presented. But the focus is on financial services regulation and the financial citizen.
Abstract: Preface List of abbreviations Table of statutes Table of cases 1. Financial services regulation and the financial citizen 2. The regulatory structure 3. An overview of financial services reform 4. Licensing financial services providers 5. The role of disclosure in the distribution of financial products 6. Selling financial products and other conduct 7. Deposit taking and payments 8. Investment 9. Insurance 10. Consumer credit 11. Superannuation 12. Compliance, enforcement and remedies Index.
TL;DR: In this article, the authors uncover the approach and strategies adopted by China in its banking reform since 1978 and then assess these reform measures in macroeconomic perspective, arguing that since China is still lingering on export-oriented strategy in promoting economic growth and monetary independence for demand management is still a long way to go, it is still in China's best interest not to adopt a flexible exchange rate system at this point of time.
Abstract: China has been delaying its adoption of a flexible exchange rate system with free capital flows. The main excuse is that its financial sector is still in its fragile stage and is not able to withstand any external shocks. A big bang approach towards such liberalization will only lead to financial crisis as observed by experiences of many Asia-Pacific countries during the Asian Financial Crisis. With this in mind, this paper attempts to uncover the approach and strategies adopted by China in its banking reform since 1978 and then assess these reform measures in macroeconomic perspective. The paper argues that since China is still lingering on export-oriented strategy in promoting economic growth and monetary independence for demand management is still a long way to go, it is still in China’s best interest not to adopt a flexible exchange rate system at this point of time. As to capital account liberalization, the main focus is to engineer a controlled and systematic capital outflows through outward investment in particular portfolio investment. At the micro level, China should continue its banking reforms until the financial sector is strong enough to withstand the severe pressure of globalization. By then, will China, with its matured financial system be ready to consider the adoption of a flexible exchange system with free capital flows. JEL Classification: E44, E5, G2, O16, O5
TL;DR: In this paper, a method and system are provided for obtaining and matching single leg and multi-leg orders to trade combinations of financial instruments included in a set of two or more selected financial instruments.
Abstract: A method and system are provided for obtaining and matching single leg and multi-leg orders to trade combinations of financial instruments included in a set of two or more selected financial instruments. In preferred embodiments, orders are received during a selected time period and eligible orders are processed with a combinatorial matching algorithm that is not constrained by limit prices. All embodiments have the advantages that matched multi-leg orders can be executed with no bid/offer spread on any of their legs, there is no risk that some legs of a multi-leg order execute while others do not execute, and said embodiments can be implemented by selecting two or more existing financial instruments without requiring the creation of any special financial instrument representing a multi-leg strategy.
TL;DR: In this article, financial institutions with global financial networks exhibit a stronger tendency to trade in the more liquid bonds and consistently trade at more favorable prices suggesting that global financial institutions have information advantages.
Abstract: This paper examines how financial networks influence asset prices and trading performance. Consistent with theoretical studies on the role of communication networks in information dissemination, we posit that financial institutions with more extensive financial networks can more efficiently acquire and process information pertaining to asset trading thus have better trading performance than financial institutions with limited financial networks. Using transaction-level Turkish government bond trading data, we find that financial institutions with global financial networks exhibit a stronger tendency to trade in the more liquid bonds and consistently trade at more favorable prices suggesting that global financial institutions have information advantages. They enjoy better trading performance than local financial institutions on informed trades. The information advantage afforded global financial institutions tends to decline over time suggesting possible learning by local financial institutions as a result of trading with global financial institutions.
TL;DR: In this paper, the impact of financial sector reform measures on integration of various segments of financial markets in India has been analyzed and the authors concluded that the financial market integration is inconclusive in India and only a few segments of money market, Gilt market, and foreign exchange market are integrated.
Abstract: Purpose – Financial sector reform measures, which were initiated in 1991, have provided some degree of maturity and integration of different segments of India's financial markets The purpose of this paper is to articulate the impact of financial sector reform measures on integration of various segments of financial markets in IndiaDesign/methodology/approach – The paper surveys various methodologies for measurement of financial integration and uses the recently developed technique of co‐integration in a VAR framework to assess the extent of integration of various segments of India's financial marketsFindings – The paper concludes that the financial market integration is inconclusive in India Only a few segments of money market, Gilt market and foreign exchange market are integrated Interest rate parity does not hold in India's case, which indicates poor evidence in support of international integration of domestic financial markets Similarly, the analysis of the relationship between domestic saving a
TL;DR: In this paper, an integration and optimization approach is proposed to identify optimal trading strategy in each category, and further integrate optimal strategies crossing classes, and positions associated with these optimal strategies are recommended for trading agents to take actions.
Abstract: Trading agents are useful for developing and back-testing quality trading strategies to support smart trading actions in the market. However, most of the existing trading agent research oversimplifies trading strategies, and focuses on simulated ones. As a result, there exists a big gap between the deliverables and business needs when the developed strategies are deployed into the real life. Therefore, the actionable capability of developed trading agents is often very limited. This paper for the first time introduces effective approaches for optimizing and integrating multiple classes of strategies through trading agent collaboration. An integration and optimization approach is proposed to identify optimal trading strategy in each category, and further integrate optimal strategies crossing classes. Positions associated with these optimal strategies are recommended for trading agents to take actions in the market. Extensive experiments on a large quantity of real-life market data show that trading agents following the recommended strategies have great potential to obtain high benefits while low costs. This verifies that it is promising to develop trading agents toward workable and satisfying business needs.