Topic
Demographic window
About: Demographic window is a research topic. Over the lifetime, 343 publications have been published within this topic receiving 7936 citations.
Papers published on a yearly basis
Papers
TL;DR: In this article, the authors show that East Asia's demographic transition resulted in its working age population growing at a much faster rate than its dependent population during 1965-90, thereby expanding the per capita productive capacity of East Asian economies.
Abstract: The demographic transition a change from high to low rates of mortality and fertility has been more dramatic in East Asia during the twentieth century than in any other region or historical period. By introducing demographic variables into an empirical model of economic growth, this article shows that this transition has contributed substantially to East Asia's so called economic miracle. The miracle occurred in part because East Asia's demographic transition resulted in its working age population growing at a much faster rate than its dependent population during 1965-90, thereby expanding the per capita productive capacity of East Asian economies. This effect was not inevitable; rather, it occurred because East Asian countries had social, economic, and political institutions and policies that allowed them to realize the growth potential created by the transition. The empirical analyses indicate that population growth has a purely transitional effect on economic growth; this effect operates only when the dependent and working age populations are growing at different rates. These results imply that future demographic change will tend to depress growth rates in East Asia, while it will promote more rapid economic growth in Southeast and South Asia.
1,248 citations
Book•
19 Feb 2003
TL;DR: In this article, the authors reviewed the debate over the effects of demographic change on economic growth and examined the research evidence on the economic impact of changes in age structure and the relationship between population change and economic development in particular regions of the world including the Middle East and North Africa.
Abstract: This report reviews the debate over the effects of demographic change on economic growth and examines the research evidence on the economic impact of changes in age structure. It also examines the relationship between population change and economic development in particular regions of the world including the Middle East and North Africa. Finally it discusses how changes in the age structure interact with labor-market health and education policies to contribute to economic growth. (excerpt)
1,092 citations
TL;DR: The transition began around 1800 with declining mortality in Europe and spread to all parts of the world and is projected to be completed by 2100 as mentioned in this paper, which has brought momentous changes, reshaping the economic and demographic life cycles of individuals and restructuring populations.
Abstract: Before the start of the demographic transition, life was short, births were many, growth was slow and the population was young. During the transition, e rst mortality and then fertility declined, causing population growth rates e rst to accelerate and then to slow again, moving toward low fertility, long life and an old population. The transition began around 1800 with declining mortality in Europe. It has now spread to all parts of the world and is projected to be completed by 2100. This global demographic transition has brought momentous changes, reshaping the economic and demographic life cycles of individuals and restructuring populations. Since 1800, global population size has already increased by a factor of six and by 2100 will have risen by a factor of ten. There will then be 50 times as many elderly, but only e ve times as many children; thus, the ratio of elders to children will have risen by a factor of ten. The length of life, which has already more than doubled, will have tripled, while births per woman will have dropped from six to two. In 1800, women spent about 70 percent of their adult years bearing and rearing young children, but that fraction has decreased in many parts of the world to only about 14 percent, due to lower fertility and longer life. 1 These changes are sketched in Table 1. These trends raise many questions and controversies. Did population grow so
1,087 citations
TL;DR: Key trends in population size, fertility and mortality, and age structures during the period of most rapid global demographic transformation from 1950 to 2050 are summarized.
Abstract: The world and most regions and countries are experiencing unprecedentedly rapid demographic change. The most obvious example of this change is the huge expansion of human numbers: four billion have been added since 1950. Projections for the next half century expect a highly divergent world, with stagnation or potential decline in parts of the developed world and continued rapid growth in the least developed regions. Other demographic processes are also undergoing extraordinary change: women's fertility has dropped rapidly and life expectancy has risen to new highs. Past trends in fertility and mortality have led to very young populations in high fertility countries in the developing world and to increasingly older populations in the developed world. Contemporary societies are now at very different stages of their demographic transitions. This paper summarizes key trends in population size, fertility and mortality, and age structures during these transitions. The focus is on the century from 1950 to 2050, which covers the period of most rapid global demographic transformation.
610 citations
TL;DR: During the economic transition from foraging to farming, the signal of a major demographic shift can be observed in cemetery data of world archaeological sequences, which expresses an increase in the input into the age pyramids of the corresponding living populations with an estimated rise in the total fertility rate.
Abstract: During the economic transition from foraging to farming, the signal of a major demographic shift can be observed in cemetery data of world archaeological sequences. This signal is characterized by an abrupt increase in the proportion of juvenile skeletons and is interpreted as the signature of a major demographic shift in human history, known as the Neolithic Demographic Transition (NDT). This expresses an increase in the input into the age pyramids of the corresponding living populations with an estimated increase in the total fertility rate of two births per woman. The unprecedented demographic masses that the NDT rapidly brought into play make this one of the fundamental structural processes of human history.
478 citations
Related Topics (5)
Performance Metrics
| Year | Papers |
|---|---|
| 2021 | 1 |
| 2020 | 5 |
| 2019 | 3 |
| 2018 | 6 |
| 2017 | 9 |
| 2016 | 21 |