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  4. 1994
Showing papers on "Climate commitment published in 1994"
Book•
Managing the Global Commons: The Economics of Climate Change

[...]

William D. Nordhaus
1 Jan 1994
TL;DR: In this article, the authors model the economics of climate change using the DICE model macrogeophysics and derive the climate and carbon-cycle equations geoeconomics -energy, emissions, and the economic impact.
Abstract: Part 1 Modelling the economics of climate change: the structure and derivation of the DICE model macrogeophysics - derivation oof the climate and carbon-cycle equations geoeconomics - energy, emissions and the economic impact of climate change. Part 2 Model results: analysis of policies to slow global warming. Part 3 Risk and uncertainty in policy toward climate change: sensitivity analysis of the DICE model formal sensitivity analysis - estimation of uncertainty in climate change decision analysis and the value of information.

1,913 citations

Journal Article•10.1016/0269-7491(94)90019-1•
Global climate change in the instrumental period

[...]

Mike Hulme1, Philip Jones1•
University of East Anglia1
01 Jan 1994-Environmental Pollution
TL;DR: Time series of global-mean temperature and precipitation are examined and a comparison is made between two independent 30-year climatologies: 1931-1960 and 1961-1990.

22 citations

Journal Article•10.1016/0269-7491(94)90018-3•
Climate of the earth: an overview.

[...]

Michael B. McElroy1•
Harvard University1
01 Jan 1994-Environmental Pollution
TL;DR: It is suggested that major shifts in climate are controlled largely by variations in CO(2) with related fluctuations in modes of ocean circulation, whereby changes in ocean circulation can result in shifts of climate on a global scale.

21 citations

Book•
Climate-biosphere interactions : biogenic emissions and environmental effects of climate change

[...]

Richard G. Zepp
1 Jan 1994
TL;DR: In this paper, the potential of Methane emissions in major Rice Ecosystems in China is investigated. And the impact of Global Warming on the Regional Climate in China Climate Forcing Due to Atmospheric Trace Gases Global Carbon Cycle is discussed.
Abstract: Effects of Global Warming on the Regional Climate in China Climate Forcing Due to Atmospheric Trace Gases Global Carbon Cycle: Balances and Imbalances Potential of Methane Emission in Major Rice Ecosystems Methane Emission from Different Cultivation Practice of Rice Paddies in Beijing Controls on the Soil-Atmosphere Fluxes of Nitrous Oxide and Methane: Effects of Tropical Deforestation Emissions of Radiatively Important Trace Gases from the Ocean and Estimated Global Fluxes to the Atmosphere Predicted Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture Ecosystems Influences of Global Climate Change on the Agriculture of China The Impact of Climate Change on China and Preliminary Policy Option Consideration.

13 citations

Journal Article•10.1017/S0252921100024738•
Estimating Solar Forcing of Climate Change during the Maunder Minimum

[...]

Judith Lean, Andrew Skumanich, Oran R. White, David Rind1•
Goddard Institute for Space Studies1
1 Jan 1994
TL;DR: In this paper, the Maunder minimum was used to estimate the solar radiative output during the last Maunder Minimum by postulating the absence of such sources, and additional reduction in the basal solar emission, and the resultant irradiance reduction of 0.25% relative to contemporary mean levels was input to the GISS GCM.
Abstract: Solar variability models which account for contemporary irradiance variations in terms of modulation by dark sunspots and bright faculae on the solar disk are used to estimate solar radiative output during the Maunder Minimum by postulating the absence of such sources, and additional reduction in the basal solar emission. When the resultant irradiance reduction of 0.25% relative to contemporary mean levels is input to the GISS GCM, the global mean temperature is reduced by 0.46°C. However, as a result of differential heating of the land and oceans, some regions may cool, and others warm, by as much 1°C, in response to the reduced solar irradiance.

7 citations

Compounding of uncertainty in climate change scenarios

[...]

Roger A. Pielke, X. Zeng
31 Dec 1994
TL;DR: The use of models to estimate climate change is not a new idea as discussed by the authors, and general circulation models (GCMs) are not global climate models, and although ocean feedbacks have begun to be included in GCMs, current state-of-the-art GCMs are incomplete tools to represent the entire spectrum of potential climate change.
Abstract: The development of realistic climate change scenarios requires consideration of the range of potential feedbacks between the atmosphere, the oceans, and the land surface. Such an understanding is essential in order to adequately describe natural climate variability and man-made climate change, as well as the uncertainty in their ability to represent the physical and biogeochemical process in the modeling of climate. There are serious misconceptions, however, regarding the use of models to estimate climate change. First, general circulation models (GCMs) are not global climate models, and although ocean feedbacks have begun to be included in GCMs, current state-of-the-art GCMs are incomplete tools to be used to represent the entire spectrum of potential climate change. The GCMs provide only a subset of possible future climate conditions and represent sensitivity experiments, not prebiogeophysical feedbacks that are sufficiently nonlinear.

2 citations

Book Chapter•
Construction of climate change scenarios from transient climate change experiments for the IPCC impacts assessment

[...]

David Viner, Mike Hulme, Scb Raper, Philip Jones
1 Jan 1994

1 citations

Posted Content•
An annotative bibliography of research on the economic effects of climate change on agriculture

[...]

Harry M. Kaiser
01 Jan 1994-Research Papers in Economics
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors report and summarize recent research on the potential economic impacts of global climate change on agriculture to that end, an annotative bibliography of articles is presented in this paper.
Abstract: Anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide and other "greenhouse" gases have the potential to substantially warm climates worldwide While the timing and magnitude of global warming is uncertain, scientists on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predict that average global temperature may increase by 15- 45³C (27-81³F) over the next 100 years Changes in precipitation will likely accompany any changes in temperature However, the magnitude, and even direction of these changes is difficult to predict with much confidence on a regional basis The agricultural sector may be profoundly affected by future changes in temperature, precipitation, solar radiation, and carbon dioxide concentrations Over the past decade, there has been a growing body of research examining the potential impacts of climate change on agriculture The purpose of this paper is to report and summarize recent research on the potential economic impacts of global climate change on agriculture To that end, an annotative bibliography of articles is presented in this paper
Journal Article•10.1146/ANNUREV.FL.26.010194.002033•
Climate dynamics and global change

[...]

Richard S. Lindzen
01 Jan 1994-Annual Review of Fluid Mechanics
TL;DR: The question of global climate change has been a major item on the political agenda for several years now as discussed by the authors, and the main concern has been the impact of anthropogenic increases in minor greenhouse gases (the major greenhouse gas is water vapor).
Abstract: The question of global climate change has been a major item on the political agenda for several years now. Politically, the main concern has been the impact of anthropogenic increases in minor greenhouse gases (the major greenhouse gas is water vapor). The question is also an interesting scientific question. Restricting ourselves to issues of climate, the answer requires that we be able to answer at least two far more fundamental questions, both involving strong fluid mechanical components:

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