TL;DR: A very cogent and comprehensive account of the main findings and policy implications of the famous Keynesian Multiplier Theory is given in this article, where the author has brought out, through his analytical and perceptive arguments that the validity of the Keynesian multiplier theory, depends upon various crucial assumptions, most of which are not valid in the case of underdeveloped countries.
Abstract: The paper begins by providing a very cogent and comprehensive account of the main findings and policy implications of the famous Keynesian Multiplier Theory. The author has brought out, through his analytical and perceptive arguments that the validity of the Keynesian Multiplier Theory, depends upon various crucial assumptions, most which are not valid in the case of underdeveloped countries. He argues that these assumptions include, inter alia, the following: existence of involuntary unemployment, upward sloping supply curve, existence of excess capacity in the consumption-goods industries, and comparatively elastic supply of the working capital, required for increased output. The paper brings out a path breaking result as follows: “a consequent blind application of the Keynesian formulæ to the problems of economic development has inflicted considerable injury on the economies of underdeveloped countries and added to the forces of inflation that are currently afflicting the whole world. The old-fashioned prescription of ‘work harder and save more’ still seems to hold good as the medicine for economic progress, at any rate as far as the underdeveloped countries are concerned”. The conclusions of this seminal paper have generated wide debate on the relevance of the Keynesian Multiplier Theory for development in the underdeveloped countries, like India.
TL;DR: In this paper, a General Equilibrium model of investment is constructed in which the pay-offs of firms depend on each other''s actions, and it is shown that when these actions are unobservable but aggregate output is in the information set of the agents; it acts as a signal.
Abstract: A General Equilibrium model of investment is constructed in which the pay-offs of firms depend on each other''s actions. It is shown that when these actions are unobservable but aggregate output is in the information set of the agents; it acts as a signal. The implication is that output will lead investment over the business cycle. This gives a theory of the Rational Expectations Investment Accelerator. Learning also changes the cyclical behaviour of the endogenous variables and leads to a loss of output and efficiency. The inefficiency depends on the amount of noise in the system thus reducing fluctuations can have first-order welfare effects. It is also shown that the introduction of a stock market will not alter the qualitative conclusion of the paper. The intuition of this paper for the investment accelerator also suggests that an "employer accelerator" might exist. An economic investigation of the US and UK data gives support to these accelerators. Also, the model predicts, investment is less responsive to output when its conditional variance is higher.
TL;DR: In the presence of aggregate demand spillovers, an imperfectly competitive form's profit is positively related to aggregate income, which in turn rises with profits of all firms in the economy as mentioned in this paper.
Abstract: In the presence of aggregate demand spillovers, an imperfectly competitive form's profit is positively related to aggregate income, which in turn rises with profits of all firms in the economy. This pecuniary externality makes a dollar of a firm's profit raise aggregate income by more than a dollar since other firms' profits also rise, and in this way gives rise to a "multiplier." Since such multipliers are ignored by firms making investment decisions, privately optimal investment decisions under uncertainty will not in general be socially optimal. Under reasonable conditions, investment is too low.
TL;DR: In this article, the authors test the impact of uncertainty on investment of Chinese firms during market transition with a sample of 195 firms in the machinery industry in Liaoning province of China during 1993-1998.
TL;DR: In this article, the flexible accelerator principle characterizes optimal investment behavior only when the firm's technology exhibits decreasing returns to scale throughout, and when there are increasing returns, there is a range in which investment increases as the capital stock increases towards its long run equilibrium level.