Journal Article10.1177/00938548241226666
Predicting Future Recidivism From Changes in School Grades and Moral Agency
Glenn D. Walters
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TL;DR: Changes in school grades and moral agency predict recidivism through indirect pathways.
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Abstract: The purpose of this study was to determine whether a change in school grades could serve as a turning point for delinquency, and whether it did so by forming a reciprocal relationship with a change in moral agency. Separate samples of 3,558 (2,829 males, 729 females) and 3,559 (2,811 males, 748 females) low-to-moderate risk justice-involved youth from the same data set served as participants in this study. Cross-lagging school grades and moral agency, while controlling for prior levels of all predictor and outcome variables, two four-variable pathways were tested (grades → moral agency → grades → recidivism; moral agency → grades → moral agency → recidivism). There were significant indirect effects in both pathways across samples, although none of the four direct effects were significant. These findings support the notion that small changes in behavior (grades) and cognition (moral agency) produce a chain reaction capable of predicting desistance from crime.
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Citations
Role of cognition in mediating parental knowledge and support as precipitants of early adolescent delinquency escalation: partial replication and extension
Glenn D. Walters
TL;DR: This study examines the mediating role of cognition in the relationship between parental knowledge/support and early adolescent delinquency escalation, finding that improved parenting leads to reduced cognitive impulsivity and moral neutralization, which in turn decelerate crime.
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