Near-term climate change: Projections and predictability

TL;DR: In this paper , the authors present results from the CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) decadal hindcasts produced with the operational CMCC (Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change) DECA decadal prediction system (DPS), based on the fully coupled CMCC-CM2-SR5 dynamical model.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors quantified the total uncertainty associated with these predictions and the relative importance of each source of uncertainty using an ensemble of climate model simulations from the CMIP5 decadal experiments, and found that over decadal time scales, there is no considerable increase in the uncertainty with time.

TL;DR: In this article, three climate-related aspects of Para rubber (Hevea brasiliensis) cultivation in areas where altitudes and latitudes higher than its endemic range create conditions which are labeled nontraditional, suboptimal or marginal for rubber cultivation: 1. rubber yield in relation to the meteorological conditions preceding harvest events, 2. potential geographical shifts in rubber cultivation through climate change and 3. assessment of climate driven susceptibility to South American leaf blight (Pseudocercospora ulei) of rubber.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors developed a seed zone classification system based on bands of climate variables that are often related to local adaptation of tree populations of climate, delineating 32 zones that cover most of Mexico.

TL;DR: The fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) will produce a state-of-the- art multimodel dataset designed to advance the authors' knowledge of climate variability and climate change.

TL;DR: The second edition of "Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Second Edition" as mentioned in this paper presents and explains techniques used in atmospheric data summarization, analysis, testing, and forecasting.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors provided an assessment of black-carbon climate forcing that is comprehensive in its inclusion of all known and relevant processes and that is quantitative in providing best estimates and uncertainties of the main forcing terms: direct solar absorption; influence on liquid, mixed phase, and ice clouds; and deposition on snow and ice.

TL;DR: The NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) was completed for the 31-yr period from 1979 to 2009, in January 2010 as mentioned in this paper, which was designed and executed as a global, high-resolution coupled atmosphere-ocean-land surface-sea ice system to provide the best estimate of the state of these coupled domains over this period.