Interaction Between Shelf Layout and Marketing Effectiveness and Its Impact on Optimizing Shelf Arrangements
TL;DR: In this article, a new method for optimizing shelf arrangements is proposed and operationalized, where the authors show that there are important dependencies between the layout of the shelf and stock-keeping unit (SKU) sales and marketing effectiveness.
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Abstract: In this paper, we propose and operationalize a new method for optimizing shelf arrangements. We show that there are important dependencies between the layout of the shelf and stock-keeping unit (SKU) sales and marketing effectiveness. The importance of these dependencies is further shown by the substantive profit gains we obtain with our proposed shelf optimization approach. The basis of our model is a standard sales equation that explains sales using item-specific marketing effect parameters and intercepts. In a Hierarchical Bayes (HB) fashion, we augment this model with a second layer that relates the effect parameters to shelf and SKU descriptors. We also take into account potential endogeneity of facings. After estimating the parameters of the two-level model using Bayesian methodology, we carefully investigate the dependencies of SKU sales and SKU marketing effectiveness on the shelf layout. Next, we search for the shelf arrangement that maximizes the expected total profit using simulated annealing (SA). We appear to be able to increase profits for all the stores analyzed, and our approach appears to outperform well-known rules of thumb.
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Figures

Figure 5: Impact of distance to shelf end on marketing-effectiveness parameters (dashed lines show 95% HPD). 
Figure 3: Impact of different number of facings on marketing-effectiveness parameters (dashed lines show 95% HPD). 
Figure 4: Impact of shelf number (varying from 1 to 5) on marketing-effectiveness parameters (dashed lines show 95% HPD). 
Table 6: Profit results for current layout, various rules of thumb and optimization algorithm. 
Figure 6: Number of facings before and after optimization for store 5. Black bubbles reflect items that have reduced profit after optimization, white bubbles are used for items that have increased profit after optimization. 
Figure 2: Histogram per marketing instrument across all βi,t.
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