Journal Article10.1177/1465116509353456
EU Issue voting; asset or liability: How European integration affects parties' electoral fortunes
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TL;DR: In this article, the authors developed and tested arguments about how political parties' electoral fortunes in national elections are influenced by voters' preferences regarding the European Union (EU), using data from UK, Danish, Dutch and German elections between 1992 and 2002.
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Abstract: This study develops and tests arguments about how political parties’ electoral fortunes in national elections are influenced by voters’ preferences regarding the European Union (EU). To date, there is increasing evidence demonstrating the impact of EU issues on vote choice in national elections — a process commonly referred to as EU issue voting. Yet little is known about which parties actually gain or lose as a result of EU issue voting. Using a two-step hierarchical estimation procedure, I first estimate an individual-level model of vote choice estimating the impact of EU preferences for individual parties. The first stage of the analysis reveals that the extent of EU issue voting varies substantially among political parties. In the second stage, I utilize party characteristics to account for this variation across parties by using an estimated dependent variable model. The analysis demonstrates that the inter-party variation in EU issue voting is largely a function of two factors: parties’ intrinsic positioning regarding the EU and strategic considerations. The empirical analysis employs data from UK, Danish, Dutch and German elections between 1992 and 2002.
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References
Context and the Economic Vote: A Multilevel Analysis
Raymond M. Duch,Randy Stevenson +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors employ two multilevel modeling procedures for estimating the contextual variations in micro-level economic voting effects: a conventional pooled approach and a two-stage procedure.
European integration, party politics and voting in the 2001 election
Geoffrey Evans
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TL;DR: This article examined the extent to which beliefs about the desirability of EMU and European integration more generally have become more important as a source of voters' party preferences, both in absolute terms and relative to the importance of other more typically central concerns facing voters.
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In the Eye of the Beholder: The Perception of the List Pim Fortuyn and the Parliamentary Elections of May 2002
TL;DR: In this paper, a second hypothesis is formulated which explains the vote shifts in terms of the new calculations that voters were forced to make when a new, credible party entered the electoral marketplace.
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Rejoinder to Liesbet Hooghe and Gary Marks, ‘A Postfunctional Theory of European Integration: From Permissive Consensus to Constraining Dissensus’
TL;DR: Hooghe and Marks as discussed by the authors argue that the debate on Europe is grounded in domestic political conflict, and that this conflict is above all driven by questions of identity, and not by economic preferences of interest groups, as is assumed by both neofunctionalists and liberal intergovernmentalists.
The Impact of EU Referenda on National Electoral Politics: The Dutch Case
TL;DR: In this paper, the impact of European Union referenda on national elections was evaluated empirically in a quasi-experimental setting by comparing two parliamentary elections before and after the first Dutch EU referendum in 2005.
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