Ensemble Distribution Distillation

TL;DR: In this article, a prior network is proposed to distill the distribution of the predictions from an ensemble, rather than just the average prediction, into a single model, which is useful for uncertainty estimation.

Abstract: Ensembles of models often yield improvements in system performance. These ensemble approaches have also been empirically shown to yield robust measures of uncertainty, and are capable of distinguishing between different \emph{forms} of uncertainty. However, ensembles come at a computational and memory cost which may be prohibitive for many applications. There has been significant work done on the distillation of an ensemble into a single model. Such approaches decrease computational cost and allow a single model to achieve an accuracy comparable to that of an ensemble. However, information about the \emph{diversity} of the ensemble, which can yield estimates of different forms of uncertainty, is lost. This work considers the novel task of \emph{Ensemble Distribution Distillation} (EnD$^2$) --- distilling the distribution of the predictions from an ensemble, rather than just the average prediction, into a single model. EnD$^2$ enables a single model to retain both the improved classification performance of ensemble distillation as well as information about the diversity of the ensemble, which is useful for uncertainty estimation. A solution for EnD$^2$ based on Prior Networks, a class of models which allow a single neural network to explicitly model a distribution over output distributions, is proposed in this work. The properties of EnD$^2$ are investigated on both an artificial dataset, and on the CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100 and TinyImageNet datasets, where it is shown that EnD$^2$ can approach the classification performance of an ensemble, and outperforms both standard DNNs and Ensemble Distillation on the tasks of misclassification and out-of-distribution input detection.