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  3. Population and Development Review
  4. 1992
Showing papers in "Population and Development Review in 1992"
Journal Article•10.2307/1971875•
Climate change : the IPCC scientific assessment

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John Theodore Houghton, G.J. Jenkins, J. J. Ephraums
01 Mar 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: A review of the intergovernmental panel on climate change report on global warming and the greenhouse effect can be found in this paper, where the authors present chemistry of greenhouse gases and mathematical modelling of the climate system.
Abstract: Book review of the intergovernmental panel on climate change report on global warming and the greenhouse effect. Covers the scientific basis for knowledge of the future climate. Presents chemistry of greenhouse gases and mathematical modelling of the climate system. The book is primarily for government policy makers.

3,806 citations

Journal Article•10.2307/1973685•
Human Development Report 1992.

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Michael P. Todaro
01 Jun 1992-Population and Development Review

514 citations

Journal Article•10.2307/1973771•
International migration systems: a global approach.

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Michael P. Todaro, Mary M. Kritz, Lin Lean Lim, Hania Zlotnik
01 Dec 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: Kritz and Zlotnik as discussed by the authors discussed the role of migration policies and social networks in the development of a migration system in the Southern Cone, and the use of social networks for Turkish migration to Germany, Czarina Wilpert the mobilization of labour migrants in Thailand: personal links and facilitating networks.
Abstract: Global interactions, migration systems, processes, and policies, Mary M. Kritz and Hania Zlotnik. Part 1 Global and regional migration systems: empirical identification of international migration systems, Hania Zlotnik international migration in the South Pacific region, Richard Bedford the West African migration system, Paulina Makinwa-Adebusoye migration and interdependence - the migration system between France and Africa, Jean-Pierre Garson Caribbean exodus and the world system, Alan B. Simmons and Jean Pierre Guengant the role of migration policies and social networks in the development of a migration system in the Southern Cone, Jorge Balan. Part 2 Processes linking origin and destination countries: international labour movements - a perspective on economic exchanges and flows, Lin Lean Lim migration networks and the shaping of migration systems, Douglas T.Gurak and Fe Caces the use of social networks in Turkish migration to Germany, Czarina Wilpert the mobilization of labour migrants in Thailand: personal links and facilitating networks, Anchalee Singhanetra-Renard the contribution of remittances to economic and social development, Fred Arnold science and technology transfers and migration flows, Mary M. Kritz and Fe Caces. Part 3 Policy issues underlying international migration: laws and policies regulating population movements: a European perspective, Tomas Hammar contemporary labour migration from Asia: policies and perspectives of sending countries, Manolo I. Abella institutional and policy interactions among countries and refugee flows, Jacqueline Desbarats evolution of policy modes for regulating international labour migration, Mark J. Miller labour migration and international economic regimes - Bretton Woods and after Aristide R. Zolberg.

375 citations

article•10.2307/1973669•
World Development Report 1992.

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01 Sep 1992-Population and Development Review

353 citations

Journal Article•10.2307/1971869•
The World's Women 1970-1990: Trends and Statistics.

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Karen Oppenheim Mason
01 Mar 1992-Population and Development Review

339 citations

Journal Article•10.2307/1971870•
The decline of mortality in Europe.

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Roger Schofield, David Reher
01 Mar 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: A review of the literature on the causes of the mortality decline that began in Europe in the eighteenth century is given in this article, which includes not only published studies in general but also of papers published in the same volume as this paper.
Abstract: This is a review of the literature on the causes of the mortality decline that began in Europe in the eighteenth century. It includes consideration not only of published studies in general but also of papers published in the same volume as this paper. (ANNOTATION)

299 citations

Journal Article•10.2307/1973773•
Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey 1990/1991.

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Zeba A. Sathar
01 Dec 1992-Population and Development Review

192 citations

Journal Article•10.2307/1971859•
The Process of Marriage in African Societies: A Multiple Indicator Approach

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Dominique Meekers
01 Mar 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: In this article, the authors used information from the 1980-81 Cote dIvoire Fertility Survey to develop a more detailed typology of marital unions based on the sequence of events in the union formation process.
Abstract: This article demonstrates the use of multiple indicators of union formation to study marriage customs in African societies. While previous studies of African marriage generally provide information only on type of union as self-reported this study uses information from the 1980-81 Cote dIvoire Fertility Survey to develop a more detailed typology of marital unions based on the sequence of events in the union formation process. This new classification incorporates information on the processual nature of Ivorian unions and more adequately reflects the diversity of marital systems practiced in Cote dIvoire. (SUMMARY IN FRE AND SPA) (EXCERPT)

183 citations

Journal Article•10.2307/1971858•
Islam Women and Politics: The Demography of Arab Countries

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Carla Makhlouf Obermeyer
01 Mar 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examine three propositions that underlie many interpretations of the demography of Arab countries: that Arab countries do poorly in terms of demographic indicators that this is due to Islam and that the impact of Islam operates through the way in which it defines a low status for women.
Abstract: This article examines three propositions that underlie many interpretations of the demography of Arab countries: that Arab countries do poorly in terms of demographic indicators that this is due to Islam and that the impact of Islam operates through the way in which it defines a low status for women. After reviewing the available data on fertility and health the article critically examines the claim that the high natality of Arab countries derives directly from religious doctrine or indirectly through Islams effect on the status of women. It argues that simplistic hypotheses linking Islam and the status of women cannot provide a satisfactory explanation for observed demographic patterns and that a better understanding of demographic change must include attention to the political context of fertility and health behavior. (SUMMARY IN FRE AND SPA) (EXCERPT)

156 citations

Journal Article•10.2307/1971871•
Discovering the Roman Family: Studies in Roman Social History.

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Geoffrey McNicoll, Keith Bradley
01 Mar 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: A seminal contribution to Roman social history, this book is essential reading for all interested in how the Roman family worked and lived as discussed by the authors, recognizing that a traditional nuclear model is necessary for an understanding of Roman family organization, Bradley argues that a broader, more extensive context must be established if this structure is to be fully appreciated.
Abstract: These essays on family life in ancient Rome offer a timely and provocative new characterization of how this most elementary component of Roman society was structured. Recognizing that a traditional nuclear model is necessary for an understanding of Roman family organization, Keith R. Bradley argues that a broader, more extensive context must be established if this structure is to be fully appreciated. A seminal contribution to Roman social history, this book is essential reading for all interested in how the Roman family worked and lived.

106 citations

Journal Article•10.2307/1973652•
The Agenda of Population Studies: A Commentary and Complaint

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Geoffrey McNicoll
01 Sep 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: Demography has roots in classical political economy with malthus as progenitor and is concerned with life tables and actuarial techniques of population dynamics represented by Graunt Halley Deparcieux and Lotka as mentioned in this paper.
Abstract: Since 1950 modern demographic history has witnessed more than a doubling of world population a rise of over 15 years in life expectancy and a decline of average total fertility rate from 5 to 3.5 children/woman. The next 79 years will see a final doubling of population size with aging societies. Human aspirations will be constrained by environmental stresses. Demography has roots in classical political economy with malthus as progenitor and is concerned with life tables and actuarial techniques of population dynamics represented by Graunt Halley Deparcieux and Lotka. Demography assesses social change to account for post transition trends in fertility mortality and family structure; the potential human life span; and family decay. Although demographers have dismissed sociobiology behavioral demography examines social economic and cultural behaviors governing fertility and mortality in addition to vital events. Family change in high-fertility Africa or the low-fertility West is highly relevant for forecasting future fertility as are rules of family and household formation labor market practices and the national administrative systems. In the late 1990s and the early 21st century the UNs or World Banks demographic projections assume a smooth demographic transition and thereafter a stationary population. Post-Cold War liberalized economies and multiparty democracies may be left with scant economic and political resources. North-South issues have been sidelined but demographic regimes may be regarded as serious social science if its content is defined by subject matter rather than by methodological approach therefore it should adopt a deliberate eclecticism with cross-disciplinary range.
Journal Article•10.2307/1971857•
Toward an Ecological Demography

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Bobbi S. Low, Alice L. Clarke, Kenneth A. Lockridge
01 Mar 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors summarize the pertinent theory in behavioral ecology highlight two important differences in the way biologists and demographers partition problems and illustrate how behavioral ecology might contribute to a new understanding of several important issues in classical demography namely natural versus controlled fertility population regulation and allocation of resources to offspring.
Abstract: An innovative way of looking at demographic patterns is based on paradigms from the fields of behavioral and evolutionary ecology. Just as the analytic techniques of demography have been important to biological investigations the theoretical advances of the last 25 years in biology may offer important perspectives on central problems in demography and provide paths to fruitful ecologically informed solutions. The authors summarize the pertinent theory in behavioral ecology highlight two important differences in the way biologists and demographers partition problems and illustrate how behavioral ecology might contribute to a new understanding of several important issues in classical demography namely natural versus controlled fertility population regulation and allocation of resources to offspring. (SUMMARY IN FRE AND SPA) (EXCERPT)
Journal Article•10.2307/1973764•
Family planning programmes and fertility

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James F. Phillips, John A. Ross
01 Dec 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: The role of family planning programs as a fertility determinant is discussed in this paper, where the authors consider the intersection of demand and supply: supply and demand, not supply vs. demand.
Abstract: Part 1 The role of family planning programmes as a fertility determinant: introduction, James F.Phillips and John A. Ross the role of family planning programmes as a fertility determinant, Ronald Freedman and Deborah Freedman methods for measuring programme impact - a review of applications in the last decade, John A. Ross and Cynthia B. Lloyd. Part 2 Theoretical perspectives on the intersection of demand and supply: supply and demand, not supply vs. demand - appropriate theory for the study of the effects of family planning programmes on fertility, George B. Simmons relationships between fertility and individual deamnd and community programme supply - the role of family planning in determining fertility, T.Paul Schultz the influence of contraceptive costs on the demand for children, Warren Robinson and John Cleland the spread of fertility regulation as collective behaviour, Rodolfo A. Bulatao and Eduard Bos. Part 3 Addressing the role of demand: demand for family planning - estimates for developing countries, Charles F. Westoff and Lorenzo Moreno the use of payments and benefits to influence reproductive behaviour, John Cleland and Warren Robinson. Part 4 Addressing the role of supply: the proximate operational determinants of fertility regulation behaviour, Ruth Simmons and James F. Phillips, quality of service, programme efforts and fertility reduction, Anrudh Jain, Judith Bruce and Sushil Kumar service proximity as a determinant of contraceptive behaviour - evidence from cross-national studies of survey data, Amy Ong Tsui and Luis Hernando Ochos. Part 5 Social, institutional, and political constraints to family planning programme effectiveness: constraints on supply and demand for family planning - evidence from Rural Bangladesh, Michael A. Koenig and Ruth Simmons state-society links - political dimensions of population policies and programmes, with special reference to China, Susan Greenhalgh the determinants of impact and utilization of fertility research ion public policy, China and Mexico, Axel I. Mundigo. Part 6 Summary and conclusion: family planning programme sand fertility effects - an overview, James F. Phillips and John A. Ross.
Journal Article•10.2307/1973659•
The Biology of Life Span: A Quantitative Approach.

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S. J. Olshansky, Leonid A. Gavrilov, Natalia S. Gavrilova, Vladimir P. Skulachev
01 Sep 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: Despite this book's being the most comprehensive review ever published on the subject, I still agree with Hart and Turturro's statement that 'the interesting but as yet unconvincing work of R o s e . . . on evolutionary theories of aging has, unfortunately, not yet been elaborated'.
Abstract: contemporary theory of aging. Unfortunately, despite the author 's best attempts to clarify his theory with respect to other theories, it still appears (to me) to be a vague concept. Fresh ideas in gerontology are certainly welcome. However, if they are to be widely accepted, they must be clearly explained and readily understood by other gerontologists who are not necessarily specialists in the field in question. Unfortunately, the evolutionary theory has not yet been clearly explained to those of us who are not evolutionary biologists. Thus, despite this book's being the most comprehensive review ever published on the subject, I still agree with Hart and Turturro's statement (1985) that 'the interesting but as yet unconvincing work of R o s e . . . on evolutionary theories of aging has, unfortunately, not yet been elaborated'. Nevertheless, the book is a provocative one and should be read by biologists and gerontologists interested in theories of aging. It is reasonably priced considering the specialized nature of the book and this should foster its wider dissemination.
Journal Article•10.2307/1973758•
The Population Debate in American Popular Magazines, 1946-90

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John R. Wilmoth, Patrick Ball
01 Dec 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: This article conducted an extensive review of the American popular literature on population for two reasons: 1) a survey of popular perspectives on population change serves as a vehicle for analyzing the structure of the arguments in the larger debate on the issue of population increase, and 2) an understanding of the evolution of popular attitudes concerning rapid population growth is essential if demographers wish to influence future population policy.
Abstract: We have undertaken an extensive review of the American popular literature on population for two reasons. First, a survey of popular perspectives on population change serves as a vehicle for analyzing the structure of the arguments in the larger debate on the issue of population increase. Compared with the academic literature, the popular discussion places greater emphasis on reasons for viewing population growth with alarm or complacency, rather than on evidence supporting those claims. As such, the popular discussion is well suited for analyzing the changing structure of the political and intellectual debate over the desirability of intervention in population processes. Second, an understanding of the evolution of popular attitudes concerning rapid population growth is essential if demographers wish to influence future population policy. We contend that the creation, in the 1960s and later, of an institutional structure for understanding and altering population-related events was made possible in part by the formation of a consensus among the American public that rapid population growth poses a significant threat to collective well-being-not only to the countries expe
Journal Article•10.2307/1973680•
The fortunes of adolescent mothers and their children: the transmission of poverty in Santiago Chile.

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Mayra Buvinic, Juan Pablo Valenzuela, Temístocles Molina, Electra González
01 Jun 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: This article investigated the reproduction of poverty in mother-child pairs in an adolescent reproductive health program of the University of Chile's teaching hospital and found that the reproduction was more closely related to the loss of the father's income than to the effect of the mother's poverty.
Abstract: This study investigates these questions as applied to a group of mostly poor, adolescent mothers in Santiago, Chile. These young women, participants in the early 1980s in an adolescent reproductive health program of the University of Chile's teaching hospital, were first studied by Ramiro Molina and colleagues fromn late 1987 to early 1989. The present study, undertaken in 1991, reinterviewed the group of women and carried out new analyses of the existing data. Extensive evidence from the United States, while controversial, in general shows that the reproduction of poverty in mother-child pairs is more closely related to the loss of the father's income than to the effect of the
Journal Article•10.2307/1973769•
Bringing Women In: Women's Issues in International Development Programs.

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Susan Greenhalgh, Nuket Kardam
01 Dec 1992-Population and Development Review
Journal Article•10.2307/1971864•
The revival of metropolitan population growth in the United States: an assessment of findings from the 1990 census.

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William H. Frey, Alden Speare
01 Mar 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors assess metropolitan-area growth patterns in the United States during the 1980s as revealed by 1990 census data and evaluate these patterns against various explanations that were proposed to account for the altered developed-world redistribution tendencies of the 1970s.
Abstract: In this article we assess metropolitan-area growth patterns in the United States during the 1980s as revealed by 1990 census data. We evaluate these patterns against various explanations that were proposed to account for the altered developed-world redistribution tendencies of the 1970s....Urbanization reasserted itself after the rural renaissance of the 1970s....U.S. metropolitan areas once again grew faster than nonmetropolitan areas and the geography of metropolitan growth displayed some rearrangement. Rapid growth in the South and West continued but its pace slowed considerably in the interior parts of these regions. Large coastal metropolitan areas showed the steadiest gains. (SUMMARY IN FRE AND SPA) (EXCERPT)
Journal Article•10.2307/1973695•
Smoking and Health in the Americas.

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Robert Heidel
01 Jun 1992-Population and Development Review
Journal Article•10.2307/1973761•
International migration and political turmoil in the Middle East.

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Sharon Stanton Russell
01 Dec 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: In this article, the authors examine the role of the recent Gulf War in making international migration in that region a key issue in international relations, and discuss the major trends in migration to Kuwait and Iraq from the onset of the oil boom to the eve of Iraqs invasion and discusses the massive population movements which occurred between mid-1990 and mid-1991.
Abstract: Political turmoil international relations and international migration have been inextricably linked in the Middle East for centuries. In recent decades immigrant labor was recruited to exploit oil resources and to work in social and physical infrastructure projects. A massive influx of labor was witnessed with the oil price increase in 1973 and the relaxation of stringent in-migration policy. Middle Eastern migration however rarely merited international political attention until Iraq invaded Kuwait in August 1990. The author draws upon documentary evidence and interviews with well-informed observers and involved individuals to examine the role of the recent Gulf War in making international migration in that region a key issue in international relations. She reviews the major trends in migration to Kuwait and Iraq from the onset of the oil boom to the eve of Iraqs invasion and discusses the massive population movements which occurred between mid-1990 and mid-1991 and their role in international relations. She also comments on the failure of demographers to inform policymakers about the brewing situation and speculates on reasons for their inaction. Concluding thoughts are given on the future of international migration to the Gulf and what demographers might contribute to the better understanding of expected trends.
Journal Article•10.2307/1973653•
The meanings of family and household: change and continuity in the mirror of the American census.

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Daniel Scott Smith
01 Sep 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: The authors examined the meanings of family concepts held by census-takers and by the Americans they enumerated and found that even in the traditional era of the family roughly before 1800 household headship was more a consequence of other attributes than an independent source of status or power.
Abstract: U.S. census officials in the 1970s changed the label for the person listed first in a household from head to householder. This essay places this shift in terminology into historical perspective by examining the meanings of family concepts held by census-takers and by the Americans they enumerated. Even in the traditional era of the family roughly before 1800 household headship was more a consequence of other attributes than an independent source of status or power. Both then and in the modern period that followed the implications of being a head or one of the heads of a household depended on the context. While a more individualistic notion of the family has developed there is still considerable continuity in the conceptions of the family. (SUMMARY IN FRE AND SPA) (EXCERPT)
Journal Article•10.2307/1973661•
Ecocide in the USSR: Health and Nature Under Siege.

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David M. Heer, Murray Feshbach, Alfred Friendly
01 Sep 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: In this article, it is shown how to search for the manual of your choice online using Google Search engine and find the main one that best describes how to operate a certain product.
Abstract: ecocide in the ussr health and nature under siege are a good way to achieve details about operating certainproducts. Many products that you buy can be obtained using instruction manuals. These user guides are clearlybuilt to give step-by-step information about how you ought to go ahead in operating certain equipments. Ahandbook is really a user's guide to operating the equipments. Should you loose your best guide or even the productwould not provide an instructions, you can easily obtain one on the net. You can search for the manual of yourchoice online. Here, it is possible to work with google to browse through the available user guide and find the mainone you'll need. On the net, you'll be able to discover the manual that you might want with great ease andsimplicity
Journal Article•10.2307/1973679•
Ethnicity and fertility differentials in Peninsular Malaysia: do policies matter?

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Pavalavalli Govindasamy, Julie DaVanzo
01 Jun 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors show that the New Economic and New Population Policies reduced desired fertility for Chinese and Indians but had a modest pronatalist effect upon Malays, and if current policy remains in effect in peninsular Malaysia current demographic trends will most likely persist.
Abstract: Ethnic groups have had differing demographic responses to economic and population policies in peninsular Malaysia. Of 14 million inhabitants in 1988 58% were Malay 32% Chinese and 10% India. While the national fertility rate began falling in the late 1950s this trend was not uniform over these main ethnic groups. Although the total fertility rate (TFR) for Chinese and Indians steadily declines the TFR for the Malay population leveled off in the mid 1970s. The TFR for Malays reversed from being the lowest among the three ethnic groups in the 1950s to become the highest; the gap between Malay and non-Malay population growth rates has steadily widened since the mid 1970s. Analysis of micro-level data from the first and second Malaysian Family Life surveys of 1976 and 1988 indicate that the New Economic and New Population Policies reduced desired fertility for Chinese and Indians but had a modest pronatalist effect upon Malays. These results clearly demonstrate that differential response to broad-based population policies may change the ethnic composition of populations. Moreover if current policy remains in effect in peninsular Malaysia current demographic trends will most likely persist.
Journal Article•10.2307/1973668•
Population, Resources and the Environment: The Critical Challenges.

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Michael P. Todaro
01 Sep 1992-Population and Development Review
Journal Article•10.2307/1971876•
Climate and Food Security.

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John Bongaarts
01 Mar 1992-Population and Development Review
Journal Article•10.2307/1971872•
Engendering Adjustment for the 1990s: Report of a Commonwealth Expert Group on Women and Structural Adjustment.

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Cynthia B. Lloyd, Mary Chinery-Hesse
01 Mar 1992-Population and Development Review
Journal Article•10.2307/1973766•
The Changing American Family: Sociological and Demographic Perspectives.

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William Petersen, Scott J. South, Stewart E. Tolnay
01 Dec 1992-Population and Development Review
Journal Article•10.2307/1973767•
Child Mortality since the 1960s: A Database for Developing Countries.

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Anne R. Pebley
01 Dec 1992-Population and Development Review
Journal Article•10.2307/1973692•
Labour in the South Pacific

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Clive Moore, Jacqueline Leckie, Doug Munro
01 Jun 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: The work in this paper explores aspects of the institutional history of labour, including trade unions, in the South Pacific, and discusses the need to understand the meaning of this to Pacific Islanders and their participation and shaping of the labour process.
Abstract: INTRODUCTIONJacqueline Leckie and Doug Munro1. PREAMBLE Jacqueline LeckieLabour and work is such an essential aspect of people's lives, yet in the Pacific, it has escaped attention as a focus of academic interest. This anomaly is even more striking when we consider that so many Pacific Islanders' lives have been shaped by conditions of labour, particularly through processes of colonial and capitalist expansion into the region. The neglect has been even greater in understanding the meaning of this to Pacific Islanders and their participation and shaping of the labour process in Pacific societies.Some of these gaps in Pacific social sciences were raised by two of the editors, Clive Moore and Jacqueline Leckie, when they attended a conference in 1986 sponsored by the Centre for South-East Asian Studies at James Cook University of North Queensland. One of the issues discussed was the problem of offering programmes in the social sciences which would be relevant to students in the Pacific Islands. From this, it emerged that a common difficulty faced was establishing communications between those academic institutions within the Pacific Islands, those offering similar courses elsewhere and other institutions, such as trade unions, which might find such knowledge of relevance. Moore and Leckie, who were both teaching in the Pacific at that time, were asked to organise a project which might involve co-operation between two far-flung universities, the University of Papua New Guinea and the University of the South Pacific. The result was a decision to bring together a volume which would both survey and penetrate in some depth aspects of labour history in the South Pacific. Later Doug Munro joined the editorial team and he shared the conviction that this volume should not just meet student and academic interests but take a crucial step towards reconstructing the history of the labouring lives of Pacific Islanders. It was partly with this aim, that a section of this book explores aspects of the institutional history of labour, including trade unions, in the Pacific. Originally we had anticipated that some Pacific Islands trade unionists, such as the Henry Moses from Papua New Guinea would contribute a chapter but regrettably he passed away in late 1987. Another prominent labour leader who had given his support to the writing of labour history in the Pacific was the late Dr Timoci Bavadra of Fiji.Ironically, part of the inspiration for this volume was to try to break down the lack of communication in Pacific studies, yet the gestation of this volume provides in itself documentation of the geographically dispersed interest in the Pacific and the mobility of many of its contributors.Pacific history continues to suffer from "monograph myopia", the apt phrase coined by Kerry Howe, to describe the abundance of detailed studies of particular themes, regions and time-periods but the dearth of broad-ranging overviews, and the lack of comparisons with other areas of colonisation. During the 1960s and 1970s labour history was thinly developed within Pacific historiography: it was not a 'people's history' and was seldom compared with labour history from other areas of the world.
Journal Article•10.2307/1973682•
Policies seeking a reduction of high fertility: a case for the demand side.

[...]

Paul Demeny
01 Jun 1992-Population and Development Review
TL;DR: It is a common claim in contemporary documents discussing national strategies concerning population change that policies aimed at reducing high fertility comprise two components: supply and demand as discussed by the authors, and this standard dichotomy is in many ways unsatisfactory.
Abstract: IT IS A COMMON CLAIM in contemporary documents discussing national strategies concerning population change that policies aimed at reducing high fertility comprise two components. One addresses "supply"-the means that enable individuals or individual couples to control their fertility ("family planning programs"). The other component addresses "demand": promoting economic and social development to ensure that demand for the services provided by family planning programs brings fertility, and thus population growth, down to a socially desired average level. This standard dichotomy is in many ways unsatisfactory. For example, how family planning programs are organized and how services are delivered have a significant influence on the capacity of these programs to attract clients. Thus, supply influences demand. Conversely, the ability of even the most determined suppliers of contraceptives to sustain an effective family planning program is a function of the level of demand: it is difficult, nay impossible, to maintain hamburger outlets in a resolutely vegetarian neighborhood. Thus supply-"program effort"-is not an independent variable: it reflects, inter alia, demand. These reservations notwithstanding, even cursory examination of the relevant evidence reveals that, in actual practice as distinct from rhetoric, these two pillars of fertility policy at present receive vastly unequal levels of attention and emphasis. Preoccupation with family planning programs absorbs the lion's share of budgetary and physical resources allotted to "population," and also claims much of the analytic and research capacity at the disposal of decisionmakers in this area of public concern. In the light of relevant facts and considerations, this imbalance between the presumed two pillars of fertility policy is highly anomalous. The aim of

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