Wayne P. Steger
DePaul University
26 Papers
228 Citations
Wayne P. Steger is an academic researcher from DePaul University. The author has contributed to research in topics: Nomination & Presidential system. The author has an hindex of 13, co-authored 26 publications. Previous affiliations of Wayne P. Steger include University of Iowa.
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Papers
Do Primary Voters Draw from a Stacked Deck? Presidential Nominations in an Era of Candidate‐Centered Campaigns
TL;DR: In this paper, Dodenhoff and Goldstein argue that the post-reform presidential election process is more mediated than is commonly recognized, and that the primary voters select among a larger number of candidates, yet which candidates have a realistic chance of winning the election is largely determined during the pre-primary season.
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The New Hampshire Effect in Presidential Nominations
TL;DR: This article developed several forecasting models of the presidential primary vote to compare to a baseline model of the aggregate primary vote (APV) that uses pre-primary and New Hampshire primary data.
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The Viability Primary Modeling Candidate Support before the Primaries
TL;DR: This article examined pre-primary candidate support in national Gallup polls for open presidential election from 1976 to 2004 and found that candidate background characteristics have marginal effects on mass partisan support during the early phase of the presidential election.
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Candidate Competition and Attrition in Presidential Primaries, 1912-2000:
TL;DR: The authors analyzes candidate competition and attrition in presidential primaries from 1912 to 2000 and finds that the number of effective candidates increased following the reforms of the 1970s and that the timing of candidate withdrawal owes to more than differences in each party's delegate allocation rules.
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Forecasting the presidential primary vote: Viability, ideology and momentum
TL;DR: The authors compared the leading primary vote forecast models by re-estimating them for a common set of candidates and nomination campaigns, assessing the predictive power of candidate ideology, controlling for the effects of variables found to be significant in prior studies.
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