Raymond Dacey
University of Idaho
41 Papers
145 Citations
Raymond Dacey is an academic researcher from University of Idaho. The author has contributed to research in topics: Game theory & Deterrence (psychology). The author has an hindex of 9, co-authored 41 publications. Previous affiliations of Raymond Dacey include University of Colorado Boulder.
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Papers
A Detailed Prospect Theory Explanation of the Disposition Effect
Raymond Dacey,Piotr Zielonka +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors provide a detailed explanation of the disposition effect based on a straightforward application of prospect theory and provide precise time-independent concepts that replace "sell too soon" and "hold too long".
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Perception of randomness and predicting uncertain events
TL;DR: This article identified four types of relatively consistent strategies for predicting uncertain binary events: a strategy immune to short-run sequential dependencies consisting of the persistent prediction of long-run majority events, hereafter called the long run momentum strategy, a strong long run majority event prediction, a long run contrarian prediction, and a strong short run majority prediction.
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Traditional Decision Analysis and the Poliheuristic Theory of Foreign Policy Decision Making
Raymond Dacey,Lisa J. Carlson +1 more
TL;DR: Ageneral decision analysis is used to provide a structured account of the elimination process of the first stage of the poliheuristic theory by displaying a noncompensatory decision rule for eliminating unacceptable policy alternatives.
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Sequential Analysis of Deterrence Games with a Declining Status Quo
Lisa J. Carlson,Raymond Dacey +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a formal prospect theory account of Challenger's behavior in the traditional deterrence game played under sequential decision analysis is presented. The model is used to analyze the behavior of the game.
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The S-Shaped Utility Function
TL;DR: The effects of the S-shaped utility function on the resolution of the decision to commit a crime, to decision to violate professional ethics, and the decided to participate in a rebellion are reviewed.
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