Fault type diagnosis is a very important tool to maintain the continuity of power transformer operation. Dissolved gas analysis (DGA) is one of the most effective and widely used techniques for predicting the power transformer fault types. In this paper, a convolutional neural network (CNN) model is proposed based on the DGA approach to accurately predict transformer fault types under different noise levels in measurements. The proposed model is applied with three categories of input ratios: conventional ratios (Rogers’4 ratios, IEC 60599 ratios, Duval triangle ratios), new ratios (five gas percentage ratios and new form six ratios), and hybrid ratios (conventional and new ratios together). The proposed model is trained and tested based on 589 dataset samples collected from electrical utilities and literature with varying noise levels up to ±20%. The results indicate that the CNN model with hybrid input ratios has superior prediction accuracy. The high accuracy of the proposed model is validated in comparison with conventional and recently published AI approaches. The proposed model is implemented based on MATLAB/toolbox 2020b.

/pdf/power-transformer-fault-diagnosis-based-on-dga-using-a-1g21rvs1cw.pdf

Power Transformer Fault Diagnosis Based on DGA Using a Convolutional Neural Network With Noise in Measurements

Fault diagnosis and prognosis (FDP) tries to recognize and locate the faults from the captured sensory data, and also predict their failures in advance, which can greatly help to take appropriate actions for maintenance and avoid serious consequences in industrial systems. In recent years, deep learning methods are being widely introduced into FDP due to the powerful feature representation ability, and its rapid development is bringing new opportunities to the promotion of FDP. In order to facilitate the related research, we give a summary of recent advances in deep learning techniques for industrial FDP in this paper. Related concepts and formulations of FDP are firstly given. Seven commonly used deep learning architectures, especially the emerging generative adversarial network, transformer, and graph neural network, are reviewed. Finally, we give insights into the challenges in current applications of deep learning-based methods from four different aspects of imbalanced data, compound fault types, multimodal data fusion, and edge device implementation, and provide possible solutions, respectively. This paper tries to give a comprehensive guideline for further research into the problem of intelligent industrial FDP for the community.

/pdf/deep-learning-techniques-in-intelligent-fault-diagnosis-and-1qn644ct.pdf

Deep Learning Techniques in Intelligent Fault Diagnosis and Prognosis for Industrial Systems: A Review

This research proposes a novel predictive model to improve the gas prediction accuracy in transformer oil and provide guarantees for accident prevention. First, this study constructs a cross-entropy loss function with variable thresholds and dynamic weights to reduce error transmission in the deep residual shrinkage network, enhancing the sensitivity of the normal and abnormal transformer states by the network. Second, the multiobjective particle swarm algorithm and random walk strategy are adopted to optimize the long short-term memory (LSTM) network to ensure the prediction model’s objectivity. Finally, the improved subchannel threshold depth residual shrinkage network is integrated with the optimized LSTM network. The new model can identify potential abnormal conditions in advance and preproduce an approximate fault model using a feature gas vector (similar to image recognition). Experiments verify the effectiveness of the method. Compared with the existing prediction methods, the new method can avoid blind prediction and significantly improve the prediction accuracy and efficiency, which provides essential value for transformer fault prevention.

A New Method for Transformer Fault Prediction Based on Multifeature Enhancement and Refined Long Short-Term Memory

Oil-immersed transformer is one of the most important components in the power system. The dissolved gas concentration prediction in oil is vital for early incipient fault detection of transformer. In this paper, a model for predicting the dissolved gas concentration in power transformer based on the modified grey wolf optimizer and least squares support vector machine (MGWO-LSSVM) with grey relational analysis (GRA) and empirical mode decomposition (EMD) is proposed, in which the influence of transformer load, oil temperature and ambient temperature on gas concentration is taken into consideration. Firstly, GRA is used to analyze the correlation between dissolved gas concentration and transformer load, oil temperature and ambient temperature, and the optimal feature set affecting gas concentration is extracted and selected as the input of the prediction model. Then, EMD is used to decompose the non-stationary series data of dissolved gas concentration into stationary subsequences with different scales. Finally, the MGWO-LSSVM is used to predict each subsequence, and the prediction values of all subsequences are combined to get the final result. DGA samples from two transformers are used to verify the proposed method, which shows high prediction accuracy, stronger generalization ability and robustness by comparing with LSSVM, particle swarm optimization (PSO)-LSSVM, GWO-LSSVM, MGWO-LSSVM, EMD-PSO-LSSVM, EMD-GWO-LSSVM, EMD-MGWO-LSSVM, GRA-EMD-PSO-LSSVM and GRA-EMD-GWO-LSSVM.

https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/2/422/pdf

Prediction Model for Dissolved Gas Concentration in Transformer Oil Based on Modified Grey Wolf Optimizer and LSSVM with Grey Relational Analysis and Empirical Mode Decomposition

\n A cyber-physical system (CPS) is one of the key technologies of industry 4.0. It is an integrated system that merges computing, sensors, and actuators, controlled by computer-based algorithms that integrate people and cyberspace. However, CPS performance is limited by its computational complexity. Finding a way to implement CPS with reduced complexity while incorporating more efficient diagnostics, forecasting, and equipment health management in a real-time performance remains a challenge. Therefore, the study proposes an integrative machine-learning method to reduce the computational complexity and to improve the applicability as a virtual subsystem in the CPS environment. This study utilizes random forest (RF) and a time-series deep-learning model based on the long short-term memory (LSTM) networking to achieve real-time monitoring and to enable the faster corrective adjustment of machines. We propose a method in which a fault detection alarm is triggered well before a machine fails, enabling shop-floor engineers to adjust its parameters or perform maintenance to mitigate the impact of its shutdown. As demonstrated in two empirical studies, the proposed method outperforms other times-series techniques. Accuracy reaches 80% or higher 3 h prior to real-time shutdown in the first case, and a significant improvement in the life of the product (281%) during a particular process appears in the second case. The proposed method can be applied to other complex systems to boost the efficiency of machine utilization and productivity.

An Integrative Machine Learning Method to Improve Fault Detection and Productivity Performance in a Cyber-Physical System

The purpose of analyzing the dissolved gas in transformer oil is to determine the transformer’s operating status and is an important basis for fault diagnosis. Accurate prediction of the concentration of dissolved gas in oil can provide an important reference for the evaluation of the state of the transformer. A combined predicting model is proposed based on kernel principal component analysis (KPCA) and a generalized regression neural network (GRNN) using an improved fruit fly optimization algorithm (FFOA) to select the smooth factor. Firstly, based on the idea of using the dissolved gas ratio of oil to diagnose the transformer fault, gas concentration ratios are also used as characteristic parameters. Secondly, the main parameters are selected from the feature parameters using the KPCA method, and the GRNN is then used to predict the gas concentration in the transformer oil. In the training process of the network, the FFOA is used to select the smooth factor of the neural network. Through a concrete example, it is shown that the method proposed in this paper has better data fitting ability and more accurate prediction ability compared with the support vector machine (SVM) and gray model (GM) methods.

https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/1/225/pdf

Prediction of Dissolved Gas Concentrations in Transformer Oil Based on the KPCA-FFOA-GRNN Model

It is of great significance to accurately get the running state of power transformers and timely detect the existence of potential transformer faults. This paper presents a prediction method of transformer running state based on LSTM_DBN network. Firstly, based on the trend of gas concentration in transformer oil, a long short-term memory (LSTM) model is established to predict the future characteristic gas concentration. Then, the accuracy and influencing factors of the LSTM model are analyzed with examples. The deep belief network (DBN) model is used to establish the transformer operation using the information in the transformer fault case library. The accuracy of state classification is higher than the support vector machine (SVM) and back-propagation neural network (BPNN). Finally, combined with the actual transformer data collected from the State Grid Corporation of China, the LSTM_DBN model is used to predict the transformer state. The results show that the method has higher prediction accuracy and can analyze potential faults.

Prediction Method for Power Transformer Running State Based on LSTM_DBN Network

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Prediction of Dissolved Gas Concentrations in Transformer Oil Based on the KPCA-FFOA-GRNN Model

Prediction Method for Power Transformer Running State Based on LSTM_DBN Network