Historicamente la violencia socio politica influyo en la manera como se configuro el conflicto armado colombiano, que a pesar de ser reconocido formalmente en el ano 2010, es considerado como uno de los mas largos del mundo, consecuentemente ha dejado millones de victimas de diferentes hechos protagonizados por actores armados, grupos guerrilleros, paramilitares e incluso agentes del Estado. Actualmente y como resultado del proceso de paz se avecinan momentos de transicion que suponen el paso del conflicto al posconflicto; sin embargo existen antecedentes que amenazan la confianza en la solucion negociada, entre ellos, procesos fallidos como el acuerdo de paz firmado con el M-19, las negociaciones del Caguan y mas recientemente las adelantadas en Ralito. Consecuentemente existe un interes por no repetir los errores del pasado, para ello es necesaria la voluntad politica orientada a la construccion de paz bajo el principio de corresponsabilidad de todos los coasociados.

pdf/del-conflicto-al-posconflicto-temores-retos-y-reflexiones-de-1xhoc54k4q.pdf

Del conflicto al posconflicto: temores, retos y reflexiones de la solución negociada

This paper shows how you can use the System Dynamics methodology for modeling social problems, however in these models as elsewhere, the knowledge acquisition phase becomes to be the bottleneck and affect other phases as the system representation and the decision making phase. An alternative to the acquisition of knowledge is based on expert systems methodologies that use judgments embodied in human expert's works mainly in articles and books designed; through successive stages of refinement through tools such as cause and effect diagrams and traditional causal diagrams and concluding with the development of mathematical and computational models. Finally a variation of this proposal on where they are given more weight to those experts more closely related to social problems both for its temporary validity and its geographical belonging and where is displayed as best results are obtained either by time used shows modeling as the validity is reached.

Simulation of social problems using System Dynamics

https://dialnet.unirioja.es/descarga/articulo/7304499.pdf

Violencias y Conflictualidades: elementos teóricos y realidades actuales en Brasil

Capítulo XII. El desplazamiento forzado como consecuencia del fenómeno de ejecuciones extrajudiciales

https://dialnet.unirioja.es/descarga/libro/561553.pdf

Violencia política y conflictos sociales en América Latina

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Violencia política y conflictos sociales en América Latina