National Security Certificate o Funded by Office of the Director of National Intelligence

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis

seized an American cargo vessel and its 40-man crew. In August 1976, North Korean forces killed two U.S. officers engaged in a tree-trimming detail in the tense north-south border area. How the Ford administration handled these "low-intensity crises" (p. xix) receives detailed scrutiny from three U.S. military officers associated with the National Defense University. Drawing on extensive inside information-including interviews with former President Ford and Secretary of State Kissinger-the authors show how the U.S. response was affected by such factors as "key policy makers' belief systems and the unique situational context" (p. 243), and the limits of available information.

Quantitative Approaches to Political Intelligence: The CIA Experience. Edited by Heuer Richards J. Jr., (Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press, 1978. Pp. x + 181. $16.50.)

What role should social scientists play in society? Louisa Hotson explores the evolution of the social sciences through four periods in the history of political science, each with different implications for how social science makes a difference. These lessons from history encourage us to think more broadly than we have in recent decades about how we define the ‘impact’ of the social science disciplines.

Social science at the crossroads: the history of political science in the USA and the evolution of social impact.

Structured analytic techniques (SATs) and fusion centres represent critical practice changes in the US that followed problems relating to 9/11 and Iraq WMD analysis. SATs have been studied at the national and supranational level, and on an individual basis. Fusion centre activities have also been examined, but less attention has been given to analysis. This study looks at perceptions and use of SATs at the sub-national level (an American fusion centre) using a survey previously used at the national and supranational levels. Findings align with earlier research, including that analysts take a positive view of SATs but use remains limited. 

Structured analytic techniques in an intelligence fusion centre: a survey of analyst perspectives and use

This article explores a little known chapter in the Intelligence Community’s (IC) history that has implications for challenges it confronts in adapting new technologies and analytic methodologies t...

Overcoming the inertia of ‘old ways of producing intelligence’—the IC’s development and use of new analytic methods in the 1970s

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Overcoming the inertia of ‘old ways of producing intelligence’—the IC’s development and use of new analytic methods in the 1970s