Current major efforts in human neuroimaging research aim to understand individual differences and identify biomarkers for clinical applications. One particularly promising approach is the prediction of individual-level behavioural phenotypes (e.g. treatment response, cognition) from brain imaging data. An essential prerequisite to identify replicable brain-behaviour prediction models is sufficient measurement reliability. By attenuating the relationship between two variables, low reliability increases the sample size necessary to identify an effect, making large datasets a necessity rather than an advantage. While previous work has evaluated the reliability of brain-based measures, the impact of the reliability of behavioural phenotypes has been largely neglected, as target selection for prediction is often guided by scientific interest or data availability. Here we demonstrate the impact of low phenotypic reliability on individual-level prediction performance. Using simulated and empirical data from the Human Connectome Projects, we found that even moderate reliability levels of commonly used behavioural phenotypes can markedly limit the ability to link brain and behaviour when underlying relations are weak. Next, using 5000 subjects from the UK Biobank, we show that highly reliable data in smaller samples outperform large amounts of moderately reliable data. These findings suggest that research programmes focused on identifying generalizable brain–behaviour associations must seriously consider the reliability of outcome measures. Ultimately, a stronger focus on reliability will help reduce the financial and societal costs incurred in acquiring large-scale datasets with unreliable “markers” of behaviour.

/pdf/the-burden-of-reliability-how-measurement-noise-limits-brain-2iybfgcw.pdf

The Burden of Reliability: How Measurement Noise Limits Brain-Behaviour Predictions

Abstract In recent years, brain research has indisputably entered a new epoch, driven by substantial methodological advances and digitally enabled data integration and modelling at multiple scales—from molecules to the whole brain. Major advances are emerging at the intersection of neuroscience with technology and computing. This new science of the brain combines high-quality research, data integration across multiple scales, a new culture of multidisciplinary large-scale collaboration, and translation into applications. As pioneered in Europe’s Human Brain Project (HBP), a systematic approach will be essential for meeting the coming decade’s pressing medical and technological challenges. The aims of this paper are to: develop a concept for the coming decade of digital brain research, discuss this new concept with the research community at large, identify points of convergence, and derive therefrom scientific common goals; provide a scientific framework for the current and future development of EBRAINS, a research infrastructure resulting from the HBP’s work; inform and engage stakeholders, funding organisations and research institutions regarding future digital brain research; identify and address the transformational potential of comprehensive brain models for artificial intelligence, including machine learning and deep learning; outline a collaborative approach that integrates reflection, dialogues, and societal engagement on ethical and societal opportunities and challenges as part of future neuroscience research. 

The coming decade of digital brain research: A vision for neuroscience at the intersection of technology and computing

Abstract Crosstalk between conflicting response codes contributes to interference in dual-tasking, an effect exacerbated in advanced age. Here, we investigated (i) brain activity correlates of such response-code conflicts, (ii) activity modulations by individual dual-task performance and related cognitive abilities, (iii) task-modulated connectivity within the task network, and (iv) age-related differences in all these aspects. Young and older adults underwent fMRI while responding to the pitch of tones through spatially mapped speeded button presses with one or two hands concurrently. Using opposing stimulus–response mappings between hands, we induced conflict between simultaneously activated response codes. These response-code conflicts elicited activation in key regions of the multiple-demand network. While thalamic and parietal areas of the conflict-related network were modulated by attentional, working-memory and task-switching abilities, efficient conflict resolution in dual-tasking mainly relied on increasing supplementary motor activity. Older adults showed non-compensatory hyperactivity in left superior frontal gyrus, and higher right premotor activity was modulated by working-memory capacity. Finally, connectivity between premotor or parietal seed regions and the conflict-sensitive network was neither conflict-specific nor age-sensitive. Overall, resolving dual-task response-code conflict recruited substantial parts of the multiple-demand network, whose activity and coupling, however, were only little affected by individual differences in task performance or age. 

Brain functional characterization of response-code conflict in dual-tasking and its modulation by age

Predicting individual behavior from brain functional connectivity (FC) patterns can contribute to our understanding of human brain functioning. This may apply in particular if predictions are based on features derived from circumscribed, a priori defined functional networks, which improves interpretability. Furthermore, some evidence suggests that task-based FC data may yield more successful predictions of behavior than resting-state FC data. Here, we comprehensively examined to what extent the correspondence of functional network priors and task states with behavioral target domains influences the predictability of individual performance in cognitive, social, and affective tasks. To this end, we used data from the Human Connectome Project for large-scale out-of-sample predictions of individual abilities in working memory (WM), theory-of-mind cognition (SOCIAL), and emotion processing (EMO) from FC of corresponding and non-corresponding states (WM/SOCIAL/EMO/resting-state) and networks (WM/SOCIAL/EMO/whole-brain connectome). Using root mean squared error and coefficient of determination to evaluate model fit revealed that predictive performance was rather poor overall. Predictions from whole-brain FC were slightly better than those from FC in task-specific networks, and a slight benefit of predictions based on FC from task versus resting state was observed for performance in the WM domain. Beyond that, we did not find any significant effects of a correspondence of network, task state, and performance domains. Together, these results suggest that multivariate FC patterns during both task and resting states contain rather little information on individual performance levels, calling for a reconsideration of how the brain mediates individual differences in mental abilities. Highlights Better prediction of behavior from task vs. resting-state FC only in a cognitive domain Little evidence for specificity of state, network, or task similarity Predicting complex behavior based on FC remains a significant challenge We extend research on brain-based behavior prediction beyond the cognitive domain

/pdf/network-and-state-specificity-in-connectivity-based-2nvsjmmw.pdf

Network and State Specificity in Connectivity-Based Predictions of Individual Behavior

Abstract Healthy aging is associated with structural and functional network changes in the brain, which have been linked to deterioration in executive functioning (EF), while their neural implementation at the individual level remains unclear. As the biomarker potential of individual resting-state functional connectivity (RSFC) patterns has been questioned, we investigated to what degree individual EF abilities can be predicted from the gray-matter volume (GMV), regional homogeneity, fractional amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations (fALFF), and RSFC within EF-related, perceptuo-motor, and whole-brain networks in young and old adults. We examined whether the differences in out-of-sample prediction accuracy were modality-specific and depended on age or task-demand levels. Both uni- and multivariate analysis frameworks revealed overall low prediction accuracies and moderate-to-weak brain–behavior associations (R2 &amp;lt; 0.07, r &amp;lt; 0.28), further challenging the idea of finding meaningful markers for individual EF performance with the metrics used. Regional GMV, well linked to overall atrophy, carried the strongest information about individual EF differences in older adults, whereas fALFF, measuring functional variability, did so for younger adults. Our study calls for future research analyzing more global properties of the brain, different task-states and applying adaptive behavioral testing to result in sensitive predictors for young and older adults, respectively. 

Predicting executive functioning from brain networks: modality specificity and age effects

Healthy aging is associated with altered executive functioning (EF). Earlier studies found age-related differences in EF performance to be partially accounted for by changes in resting-state functional connectivity (RSFC) within brain networks associated with EF. However, it remains unclear which role RSFC in EF-associated networks plays as a marker for individual differences in EF performance. Here, we investigated to what degree individual abilities across 3 different EF tasks can be predicted from RSFC within EF-related, perceptuo-motor, whole-brain, and random networks separately in young and old adults. Specifically, we were interested if (i) young and old adults differ in predictability depending on network or EF demand level (high vs. low), (ii) an EF-related network outperforms EF-unspecific networks when predicting EF abilities, and (iii) this pattern changes with demand level. Both our uni- and multivariate analysis frameworks analyzing interactions between age × demand level × networks revealed overall low prediction accuracies and a general lack of specificity regarding neurobiological networks for predicting EF abilities. This questions the idea of finding markers for individual EF performance in RSFC patterns and calls for future research replicating the current approach in different task states, brain modalities, different, larger samples, and with more comprehensive behavioral measures.

Predicting executive functioning from functional brain connectivity: network specificity and age effects.

EP 83. Neural correlates of age-related changes in cognitive action control

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Predicting executive functioning from functional brain connectivity: network specificity and age effects.

EP 83. Neural correlates of age-related changes in cognitive action control