Meta-Analysis in Clinical Trials*

: The results of observational studies are often disputed because of nonrandom treatment assignment. For example, patients at greater risk may be overrepresented in some treatment group. This paper discusses the central role of propensity scores and balancing scores in the analysis of observational studies. The propensity score is the (estimated) conditional probability of assignment to a particular treatment given a vector of observed covariates. Both large and small sample theory show that adjustment for the scalar propensity score is sufficient to remove bias due to all observed covariates. Applications include: matched sampling on the univariate propensity score which is equal percent bias reducing under more general conditions than required for discriminant matching, multivariate adjustment by subclassification on balancing scores where the same subclasses are used to estimate treatment effects for all outcome variables and in all subpopulations, and visual representation of multivariate adjustment by a two-dimensional plot. (Author)

/pdf/the-central-role-of-the-propensity-score-in-observational-hqdiv01vha.pdf

The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects

The increasing volume of data in modern business and science calls for more complex and sophisticated tools. Although advances in data mining technology have made extensive data collection much easier, it's still always evolving and there is a constant need for new techniques and tools that can help us transform this data into useful information and knowledge. Since the previous edition's publication, great advances have been made in the field of data mining. Not only does the third of edition of Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques continue the tradition of equipping you with an understanding and application of the theory and practice of discovering patterns hidden in large data sets, it also focuses on new, important topics in the field: data warehouses and data cube technology, mining stream, mining social networks, and mining spatial, multimedia and other complex data. Each chapter is a stand-alone guide to a critical topic, presenting proven algorithms and sound implementations ready to be used directly or with strategic modification against live data. This is the resource you need if you want to apply today's most powerful data mining techniques to meet real business challenges. * Presents dozens of algorithms and implementation examples, all in pseudo-code and suitable for use in real-world, large-scale data mining projects. * Addresses advanced topics such as mining object-relational databases, spatial databases, multimedia databases, time-series databases, text databases, the World Wide Web, and applications in several fields. *Provides a comprehensive, practical look at the concepts and techniques you need to get the most out of real business data

/pdf/data-mining-concepts-and-techniques-4dtvdfkvmi.pdf

Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques

This tutorial provides an overview of the basic theory of hidden Markov models (HMMs) as originated by L.E. Baum and T. Petrie (1966) and gives practical details on methods of implementation of the theory along with a description of selected applications of the theory to distinct problems in speech recognition. Results from a number of original sources are combined to provide a single source of acquiring the background required to pursue further this area of research. The author first reviews the theory of discrete Markov chains and shows how the concept of hidden states, where the observation is a probabilistic function of the state, can be used effectively. The theory is illustrated with two simple examples, namely coin-tossing, and the classic balls-in-urns system. Three fundamental problems of HMMs are noted and several practical techniques for solving these problems are given. The various types of HMMs that have been studied, including ergodic as well as left-right models, are described. >

/pdf/a-tutorial-on-hidden-markov-models-and-selected-applications-1vlzbxbk68.pdf

A tutorial on hidden Markov models and selected applications in speech recognition

From the Publisher:
This is the first comprehensive treatment of feed-forward neural networks from the perspective of statistical pattern recognition. After introducing the basic concepts, the book examines techniques for modelling probability density functions and the properties and merits of the multi-layer perceptron and radial basis function network models. Also covered are various forms of error functions, principal algorithms for error function minimalization, learning and generalization in neural networks, and Bayesian techniques and their applications. Designed as a text, with over 100 exercises, this fully up-to-date work will benefit anyone involved in the fields of neural computation and pattern recognition.

/pdf/neural-networks-for-pattern-recognition-34puigiau1.pdf

Neural networks for pattern recognition

https://rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1977.tb01600.x

Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm

A multivalued mapping from a space X to a space S carries a probability measure defined over subsets of X into a system of upper and lower probabilities over subsets of S. Some basic properties of such systems are explored in Sects. 1 and 2. Other approaches to upper and lower probabilities are possible and some of these are related to the present approach in Sect. 3. A distinctive feature of the present approach is a rule for conditioning, or more generally, a rule for combining sources of information, as discussed in Sects. 4 and 5. Finally, the context in statistical inference from which the present theory arose is sketched briefly in Sect. 6.

Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping.

/pdf/upper-and-lower-probabilities-induced-by-a-multivalued-4ezjj1hdbg.pdf

Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping

Maximum likelihood from incomplete data

https://www.stat.purdue.edu/~chuanhai/projects/DS/docs/07IJARfinal.pdf

The Dempster--Shafer calculus for statisticians

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