A. Duncan
8 Papers
3 Citations
A. Duncan is an academic researcher. The author has contributed to research in topics: Computer science & Bayesian probability. The author has an hindex of 2, co-authored 8 publications.
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Papers
Hierarchical Bayesian modeling for knowledge transfer across engineering fleets via multitask learning
L.A. Bull,D. Di Francesco,Maharshi Dhada,O. Steinert,Tony Lindgren,Ajith Kumar Parlikad,A. Duncan,M. W. Girolami +7 more
TL;DR: A population-level analysis is proposed to address data sparsity when building predictive models for engineering infrastructure, and succeeds in demonstrating the wide applicability in practical infrastructure monitoring, since the approach is naturally adapted between interpretable fleet models of different in situ examples.
Using Perturbation to Improve Goodness-of-Fit Tests based on Kernelized Stein Discrepancy
Xing Liu,A. Duncan,Axel Gandy +2 more
TL;DR: In this paper , the authors proposed to perturb the observed sample via Markov transition kernels, with respect to which the target distribution is invariant, and then employ the KSD test on the perturbed sample.
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Batch Bayesian Optimization via Particle Gradient Flows
TL;DR: This work reformulates batch BO as an optimisation problem over the space of probability measures and constructs a new acquisition function based on multipoint expected improvement which is convex over thespace of probability Measures.
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Encoding Domain Expertise into Multilevel Models for Source Location
TL;DR: In this paper , a Bayesian multilevel approach is proposed to capture the statistical correlations and interdependencies between models of a group of systems by constraining the combined models with domain knowledge to enhance transfer learning and enable further insights at the population level.
Knowledge Transfer in Engineering Fleets: Hierarchical Bayesian Modelling for Multi-Task Learning
L.A. Bull,Maharshi Dhada,O. Steinert,Tony Lindgren,Ajith Kumar Parlikad,A. Duncan,M. W. Girolami +6 more
TL;DR: A population-level analysis is proposed to address issues of data sparsity when building predictive models of engineering infrastructure and hierarchical Bayesian modelling is used to improve the survival analysis of a truck and power prediction in a wind farm.
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